Fact sheet — Game 3, turn 5

Generated from the game log and the replayed engine state; nothing here is interpreted. Lines marked ENGINE TRUTH hold information the seats could not see.

The game

seating ["alice","bob"].
Roles: alice = dispatcher, bob = operationsExpert. Config: {"epidemicCount":4,"handVisibility":"open","rolePool":["dispatcher","operationsExpert"]}.
Model: deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017; reasoning "low"; message budget 5; per-seat runtime [{"seat":"alice","model":"deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017","reasoning":"low","providerOrder":["deepseek","fireworks","deepinfra","baseten"],"quirks":{"coerceUntooledText":true},"instructions":"sha256:17c5807fe0bc56156058c52c921eb869dedc80ce2042658d30520c3b4ed03343"},{"seat":"bob","model":"deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017","reasoning":"low","providerOrder":["deepseek","fireworks","deepinfra","baseten"],"quirks":{"coerceUntooledText":true},"instructions":"sha256:17c5807fe0bc56156058c52c921eb869dedc80ce2042658d30520c3b4ed03343"}].
Flags on: composites, spatial, eventLines, stationReach, capabilityEdges, airliftEdge, dispatchEdge, dispatchRelocate, dispatchHandoff, deckPipeline, shareFold, frontier, plan, leanPrompt, spareCount, threatRank, eventPrice, epidemicCard.
Final phase: {"tag":"over","result":{"kind":"won"}}.

The chain

proposal — #32 by bob

BLUE EMERGENCY (from Bob). Blue supply crashed 14→10 after the reshuffle — blue is our LOSING clock. DOCTRINE: treat/cure BLUE above all; once blue is CURED, one treat clears ALL blue cubes in a city (the only fast fix for the bleed). OWNERS: ALICE = BLUE cure (3/5: SF/Essen/Madrid — keep every blue; clear Milan this turn) + RED. BOB = YELLOW cure (3/5, at Atlanta station) + clears ATLANTA (3 blue) with 3 treats next turn + will build a EUROPEAN station (free, Ops Expert) so Alice can cure blue locally instead of trekking to Atlanta. Toronto(blue) sits in Bob's hand as a 4th blue for Alice IF we can meet at Toronto. Second-tier threats: NY–London blue cluster, Manila red 2, Algiers black 2, Lagos yellow 2 — closest player mops after the blue cure is secured. No long detours until blue is cured.

revision — #39 by alice

KEY REFRAME — do NOT spend 3 actions clearing Atlanta. Once BLUE is CURED, ONE treat wipes all of Atlanta's blue. So land the blue cure FIRST, then Atlanta is a 1-action cleanup. Fastest path, your turn:

1) Head to TORONTO (drive Atlanta→Chicago→Toronto, 2 moves) — you hold Toronto, my 5th blue.

2) As Ops Expert, BUILD A STATION in Toronto (free, no card). That becomes our cure site AT the handoff point — no European-station ocean crossing needed, no trek to Atlanta.

I'm at Essen holding 4/5 blue (SF/Essen/Madrid/StP). Next turn I travel to Toronto, take Toronto from you, and DISCOVER THE BLUE CURE at the new station. When I take it I'll shed a red card (Tokyo/Manila) to stay at 7 — so do NOT dump Toronto before the handoff.

Manila is now 3 red (new bomb) but red supply is healthy (19) and it's second-tier — ignore until blue is cured. Blue supply becomes a non-issue once cured (single-treat clears). Priorities: Toronto + station THIS turn.

refinement — #41 by bob

Reframe accepted — and I can do better than you traveling: I'm driving to Toronto and building the station there, THEN airlifting YOU straight to Toronto (airlift = free, 0 actions) and handing you Toronto. You end ON a Toronto station holding 5 blue with ZERO travel — cure blue as your FIRST action next turn.

⚠ When I hand off, you jump to 8 cards and get a FORCED DISCARD — shed TOKYO or MANILA (red), and KEEP ALL 5 BLUE (SF/Essen/Madrid/StP/Toronto). Do not lose a blue.

Atlanta stays at 3 (we clear it in ONE action once blue is cured, per your call). Manila red 3 at 3 is second-tier (red supply 19) — ignore for now. Executing the Toronto handoff.

The log, #32 to #63 (the proposal to the end of the follow-through window)

— turn 4 (alice's turn) —

#32 bob pins [PROPOSAL]: BLUE EMERGENCY (from Bob). Blue supply crashed 14→10 after the reshuffle — blue is our LOSING clock. DOCTRINE: treat/cure BLUE above all; once blue is CURED, one treat clears ALL blue cubes in a city (the only fast fix for the bleed). OWNERS: ALICE = BLUE cure (3/5: SF/Essen/Madrid — keep every blue; clear Milan this turn) + RED. BOB = YELLOW cure (3/5, at Atlanta station) + clears ATLANTA (3 blue) with 3 treats next turn + will build a EUROPEAN station (free, Ops Expert) so Alice can cure blue locally instead of trekking to Atlanta. Toronto(blue) sits in Bob's hand as a 4th blue for Alice IF we can meet at Toronto. Second-tier threats: NY–London blue cluster, Manila red 2, Algiers black 2, Lagos yellow 2 — closest player mops after the blue cure is secured. No long detours until blue is cured.
#33 alice says: Finishing MILAN rather than the London detour: I'm already halfway (Milan now 2), so clearing it returns the most blue to our strained supply (→13) and removes the 3-cube trap — bailing to London would strand Milan at 2 for just 1 cube. I end at ESSEN as a blue hub; next turn I can reach London/StP/Paris. You clear Atlanta (3 blue) — Milan+Atlanta = +6 blue back to supply. That's the real fix. Then BLUE CURE is the priority: I'm 3/5 (SF, Essen, Madrid); Toronto is your 4th. When you get a free breath, your FREE Ops-Expert build of a EUROPEAN station lets me cure blue locally instead of a 5-move trek — please make that the next big move. I'm packing everything blue.
#34 alice: {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"blue"}
#35 alice: {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"blue"}
#36 alice: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Essen"}
#37 alice: {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Johannesburg"}}
#38 alice: {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Tehran"}}

— turn 5 (bob's turn) —

#39 alice says [REVISION]: KEY REFRAME — do NOT spend 3 actions clearing Atlanta. Once BLUE is CURED, ONE treat wipes all of Atlanta's blue. So land the blue cure FIRST, then Atlanta is a 1-action cleanup. Fastest path, your turn: 1) Head to TORONTO (drive Atlanta→Chicago→Toronto, 2 moves) — you hold Toronto, my 5th blue. 2) As Ops Expert, BUILD A STATION in Toronto (free, no card). That becomes our cure site AT the handoff point — no European-station ocean crossing needed, no trek to Atlanta. I'm at Essen holding 4/5 blue (SF/Essen/Madrid/StP). Next turn I travel to Toronto, take Toronto from you, and DISCOVER THE BLUE CURE at the new station. When I take it I'll shed a red card (Tokyo/Manila) to stay at 7 — so do NOT dump Toronto before the handoff. Manila is now 3 red (new bomb) but red supply is healthy (19) and it's second-tier — ignore until blue is cured. Blue supply becomes a non-issue once cured (single-treat clears). Priorities: Toronto + station THIS turn.
#40 alice pins: BLUE CURE IS THE WIN, THIS TURN. I (Alice) am 4/5 blue (SF/Essen/Madrid/StP) at Essen; Bob holds the 5th (Toronto). PLAN: Bob drives Atlanta→Chicago→Toronto and BUILDS A STATION in Toronto (free, Ops Expert) this turn = our cure site AT the handoff city. Next turn Alice travels Essen→London→New York→Toronto, takes Toronto from Bob, and DISCOVERS THE BLUE CURE at the Toronto station. ORDER MATTERS: do NOT pre-clear Atlanta with 3 treats — once blue is cured, ONE treat clears all of Atlanta. Post-cure: mop all blue cities with single treats (Atlanta, NY, London, London cluster), then reassess colors (Bob=yellow 3/5 at a station; Alice=red 2/5 next). Keep all blue cards in the shared pool until the cure lands — nobody shed blue. Second-tier fires (do NOT chase until blue cured): Manila red 3, London/NY blue 2, Algiers black 2.
#41 bob says [REFINEMENT]: Reframe accepted — and I can do better than you traveling: I'm driving to Toronto and building the station there, THEN airlifting YOU straight to Toronto (airlift = free, 0 actions) and handing you Toronto. You end ON a Toronto station holding 5 blue with ZERO travel — cure blue as your FIRST action next turn. ⚠ When I hand off, you jump to 8 cards and get a FORCED DISCARD — shed TOKYO or MANILA (red), and KEEP ALL 5 BLUE (SF/Essen/Madrid/StP/Toronto). Do not lose a blue. Atlanta stays at 3 (we clear it in ONE action once blue is cured, per your call). Manila red 3 at 3 is second-tier (red supply 19) — ignore for now. Executing the Toronto handoff.
#42 bob: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"}
#43 bob: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Toronto"}
#44 bob: {"tag":"buildStation"}
#45 bob: {"tag":"playEvent","play":{"event":"airlift","pawn":"alice","to":"Toronto"}}
#46 alice says: Approved — airlift me to Toronto after you build the station and hand off. I'll shed Tokyo (red) on the forced discard and keep all 5 blue (SF/Essen/Madrid/StP/Toronto), then DISCOVER BLUE as my first action. Bonus: your free Toronto station also gives us a NORTH-AMERICA hub (shuttle link to Atlanta/HCMC) for the next cures — good build. Go execute; I'll cure on my turn.
#47 bob: {"tag":"shareGive","to":"alice","card":"Toronto"}
#48 alice: {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Tokyo"}}

— turn 6 (alice's turn) —

#49 bob says: Orders for your turn — do EXACTLY this order: 1) DISCOVER BLUE as action #1 — you have the full 5 at the Toronto station. It's cure #1 AND it makes every later treat WIPE an entire blue city (that's how we beat the supply crash). 2) BLUE SUPPLY IS CRITICAL: 8 left, 16 on board, Atlanta already OUTBROKE. After curing, clear the fattest adjacent city — drive Toronto→NEW YORK (3 blue), treat → wipes all 3 (+3 supply, 8→11). NY/London/Wash/Atlanta/Chicago = the 12-cube cluster, our #1 target. 3) Spend any remaining action treating another adjacent blue city (Washington 2 / Chicago 2 are both 1 move off Toronto) — every treat now clears a whole city, so treat over moving. I'm at 4/5 YELLOW and cure it at Toronto next turn — so DON'T leave Toronto shuffle-blocking me; just get the cure + wipes done. Go!
#50 bob pins: BLUE CURE IS LOCKED (Alice 5/5 blue at Toronto station) — Alice: DISCOVER it, then treat-wipe blue cities (once cured, ONE treat clears a whole city). BLUE SUPPLY IS THE EMERGENCY (8 left, Atlanta already outbroke, 12-cube NY/London/Wash/Atlanta/Chicago cluster). BOTH players wipe blue on every turn: ALICE clears NY(3)/London/Washington/Chicago/Atlanta; BOB clears Atlanta(3)/NY on his turn. BOB is 4/5 YELLOW — grabs the 5th and cures yellow at Toronto (station) next. After yellow+blue: reassess, Alice takes red/black next. Toronto is now a NA hub (shuttles to Atlanta/HCMC). Second-tier (do not chase before blue is stabilized): Manila red 3, Algiers black 2, Lagos yellow 2.
#51 alice says: CURING BLUE now at Toronto, then wiping New York (3→0, +3 supply). YOU take ATLANTA: it's at 3 and already outbroke once — as Ops Expert shuttle Toronto→Atlanta and ONE treat WIPES it now that blue is cured (+3 supply). Then join me mopping Washington/Chicago/London. Also you're 4/5 yellow — grab your 5th and cure yellow at the Toronto station. Combined we return ~6 blue this round (supply 8→~14).
#52 alice: {"tag":"discoverCure","color":"blue","cards":["San Francisco","Essen","Madrid","St. Petersburg","Toronto"]}
#53 alice: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"New York"}
#54 alice: {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"blue"}
#55 alice: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"London"}

— turn 7 (bob's turn) —

#56 alice says: Your turn, Bob — my read: you're 4/5 YELLOW and standing on the Toronto station, so cure #2 is one good draw away. Balance it with blue mopping like this: 1) SHUTTLE Toronto→Atlanta, TREAT Atlanta → ONE treat WIPES all 3 (+3 supply, kills that 3-cube bomb). 2) Don't over-invest in blue — it's CURED, every blue city is a free 1-treat wipe forever, so supply isn't a death clock anymore. If you want more relief, drive Atlanta→Chicago or →Washington and wipe (+2 each), then you're only 1 move back to Toronto next turn. 3) YELLOW CURE is the priority: stay within 1 action of the Toronto station so the instant you draw your 5th yellow you cure it. Backup: I hold Sao Paulo(yellow) — if you don't draw your 5th soon, we can meet IN Sao Paulo and I'll hand it to you to guarantee the set (costly detour, only if draws stall). I'm mopping Europe blue (London now, then Paris/Essen/StP) — don't cross the ocean for blue.
#57 alice pins: BLUE IS CURED. New priorities: 1) YELLOW CURE NEXT (Bob 4/5, at Toronto station) — Bob stay within ~1 action of a station and cure the instant you draw your 5th yellow. Backup 5th: Alice holds Sao Paulo(yellow) if draws stall. 2) Blue mopping = cheap cleanup only (1 treat wipes ANY blue city now). Do it opportunistically, never cross an ocean for it. Alice takes Europe blue (London/Paris/Essen/StP); Bob takes NA blue (Atlanta/Washington/Chicago). 3) Then RED + BLACK for cures 3-4. Alice seeds: Manila(red), Algiers(black). Bob holds black (Moscow, Riyadh). Decide a station rendezvous to concentrate one color and cure. 4) Single wipes are action-cheap; 3-cube cities still outbreak until treated — don't leave Atlanta/Manila untreated for long. Re-pin as cures land.
#58 bob says: Going with the SWEEP — it's the frontier's LOWEST-risk line and still keeps yellow-cure-next-turn intact: shuttle Toronto→Atlanta, treat (wipes Atlanta's 3, +3 supply), drive Atlanta→Chicago, treat (wipes Chicago's 2, +2) = +5 blue, supply 10→15. I END at Chicago, which is exactly 1 move from the Toronto station — so the instant I draw a 5th yellow this turn, I cure yellow next turn (1 move + cure). On blue not being a death clock: partly true, but cured cities still pull cubes from SUPPLY on every infect until each is treated, and 10 was genuinely low with 14 on board — +5 now is cheap insurance so we don't get surprised by depletion. You keep mopping London/Paris/Essen/StP (all yours, don't wait for me). I'll do Chicago→Toronto and cure yellow as my first two actions next turn.
#59 bob: {"tag":"shuttleFlight","to":"Atlanta"}
#60 bob: {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"blue"}
#61 alice says: Bob's sweep is sound and keeps his yellow cure lined up — no correction needed. Staying silent so I don't interrupt; I'll mop Europe blue on my next turn.
#62 bob: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"}
#63 bob: {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"blue"}

ENGINE TRUTH: the top six of the infection deck at the first decision after each chain message

Hidden from the seats unless a Forecast was played; listed so a claim about the deck can be checked.

After the proposal #32, before command #34: Manila, Washington, New York, Atlanta, Shanghai, St. Petersburg (top first).
After the revision #39, before command #42: New York, Atlanta, Shanghai, St. Petersburg, Bogota, Algiers (top first).
After the refinement #41, before command #42: New York, Atlanta, Shanghai, St. Petersburg, Bogota, Algiers (top first).

The board before the first command of each run that carried the plan out

Before #42

Before command #42 by bob; phase {"tag":"playerActions","remaining":4}; turn owner bob.
alice (dispatcher) at Essen; hand 7: San Francisco, Tokyo, Manila, Essen, Madrid, St. Petersburg, Algiers
bob (operationsExpert) at Atlanta; hand 6: Lima, Buenos Aires, Moscow, Toronto, Bogota, event:airlift
Stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City.
Cures: blue none, yellow none, black none, red none. Outbreaks 0/8; infection rate index 1.
Cube supply: blue 12, yellow 21, black 22, red 19.
Cities with 2 or more cubes: New York blue×2; Manila red×3; Algiers black×2; Lagos yellow×2; London blue×2; Atlanta blue×3.
Every city with a cube (alphabetical): Algiers black×2; Atlanta blue×3; Beijing red×1; Bogota yellow×1; Chicago blue×1; Essen blue×1; Lagos yellow×2; London blue×2; Manila red×3; New York blue×2; Paris blue×1; Shanghai red×1; St. Petersburg blue×1; Washington blue×1.
Player deck 39 (epidemics left: 3); infection deck 44, discard 4.
Infection discard (public), oldest first: London, Lagos, Manila, Washington.
ENGINE TRUTH, hidden from the seats unless a Forecast was played: top of the infection deck, top first: New York, Atlanta, Shanghai, St. Petersburg, Bogota, Algiers.
ENGINE TRUTH, infect-phase preview (exact only if the draw before it puts no epidemic in play (3 left in the player deck)): the next infect phase would draw New York, Atlanta (rate 2, top first); outbreaks 0 → 1, cities that outbroke: Atlanta.

Before #52

Before command #52 by alice; phase {"tag":"playerActions","remaining":4}; turn owner alice.
alice (dispatcher) at Toronto; hand 7: San Francisco, Manila, Essen, Madrid, St. Petersburg, Algiers, Toronto
bob (operationsExpert) at Toronto; hand 6: Lima, Buenos Aires, Moscow, Bogota, Khartoum, Riyadh
Stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto.
Cures: blue none, yellow none, black none, red none. Outbreaks 1/8; infection rate index 1.
Cube supply: blue 8, yellow 21, black 22, red 19.
Cities with 2 or more cubes: New York blue×3; Manila red×3; Algiers black×2; Chicago blue×2; Lagos yellow×2; London blue×2; Atlanta blue×3; Washington blue×2.
Every city with a cube (alphabetical): Algiers black×2; Atlanta blue×3; Beijing red×1; Bogota yellow×1; Chicago blue×2; Essen blue×1; Lagos yellow×2; London blue×2; Manila red×3; Miami blue×1; New York blue×3; Paris blue×1; Shanghai red×1; St. Petersburg blue×1; Washington blue×2.
Player deck 37 (epidemics left: 3); infection deck 42, discard 6.
Infection discard (public), oldest first: London, Lagos, Manila, Washington, New York, Atlanta.
ENGINE TRUTH, hidden from the seats unless a Forecast was played: top of the infection deck, top first: Shanghai, St. Petersburg, Bogota, Algiers, Paris, Ho Chi Minh City.
ENGINE TRUTH, infect-phase preview (exact only if the draw before it puts no epidemic in play (3 left in the player deck)): the next infect phase would draw Shanghai, St. Petersburg (rate 2, top first); outbreaks 1 → 1.

Before #59

Before command #59 by bob; phase {"tag":"playerActions","remaining":4}; turn owner bob.
alice (dispatcher) at London; hand 4: Manila, Algiers, Washington, Sao Paulo
bob (operationsExpert) at Toronto; hand 6: Lima, Buenos Aires, Moscow, Bogota, Khartoum, Riyadh
Stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto.
Cures: blue cured, yellow none, black none, red none. Outbreaks 1/8; infection rate index 1.
Cube supply: blue 10, yellow 21, black 22, red 18.
Cities with 2 or more cubes: Manila red×3; Algiers black×2; Shanghai red×2; Chicago blue×2; Lagos yellow×2; London blue×2; St. Petersburg blue×2; Atlanta blue×3; Washington blue×2.
Every city with a cube (alphabetical): Algiers black×2; Atlanta blue×3; Beijing red×1; Bogota yellow×1; Chicago blue×2; Essen blue×1; Lagos yellow×2; London blue×2; Manila red×3; Miami blue×1; Paris blue×1; Shanghai red×2; St. Petersburg blue×2; Washington blue×2.
Player deck 35 (epidemics left: 3); infection deck 40, discard 8.
Infection discard (public), oldest first: London, Lagos, Manila, Washington, New York, Atlanta, Shanghai, St. Petersburg.
ENGINE TRUTH, hidden from the seats unless a Forecast was played: top of the infection deck, top first: Bogota, Algiers, Paris, Ho Chi Minh City, Milan, Beijing.
ENGINE TRUTH, infect-phase preview (exact only if the draw before it puts no epidemic in play (3 left in the player deck)): the next infect phase would draw Bogota, Algiers (rate 2, top first); outbreaks 1 → 1.

ENGINE TRUTH marks hidden state, such as the infection deck order.

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