Fact sheet — Game 8, turn 8
Generated from the game log and the replayed engine state; nothing here is interpreted. Lines marked ENGINE TRUTH hold information the seats could not see.
The game
- seating ["alice","bob"].
- Roles: alice = scientist, bob = contingencyPlanner. Config: {"epidemicCount":4,"handVisibility":"open","rolePool":["contingencyPlanner","scientist"]}.
- Model:
zai/glm-5.3-flash; reasoning "high"; message budget 5; per-seat runtime "not recorded". - Flags on: composites, spatial, eventLines, airliftEdge, dispatchEdge, dispatchRelocate, deckPipeline, doomedFuel, frontier, plan, leanPrompt, spareCount, planReserve, threatRank, deckMargin, eventPrice.
- Final phase: {"tag":"over","result":{"kind":"won"}}.
The chain
proposal — #66 by alice
PLAN CHANGE — Riyadh handoff DEAD: Bob drew Kolkata(black) and holds a FULL BLACK SET (Mumbai, Tehran, Moscow, Baghdad, Kolkata). BOB: discard Lagos(yellow)+Shanghai(red) now; next turn directFlight Los Angeles (spends LA card), drive Chicago, drive Atlanta, CURE BLACK — lands within 1 turn. ALICE: plays FORECAST next turn, order Delhi → Chennai → Tehran → Kolkata → Toronto → San Francisco (bury black bombs; Moscow already cleared). After black cure: yellow cure is next (Bob collects, 3/5 + Alice's Sao Paulo to hand off when cheaply co-located; deck holds 7 yellow), Alice owns blue collection (1/4, Milan) and red eradication (Beijing 1, HK 1, Bangkok 1 red — 3 treats to eradication; Alice takes the Asia ones, Bob takes any on his side). Riyadh + Sydney cards in Alice's hand are now generic fuel. Government Grant if drawn: station wherever the yellow cure set sits.
revision — #68 by bob
🚨 FORECAST SEMANTICS ALERT before you commit: the order array = DRAW order — position 1 infects THIS phase. Your listed order (Delhi first) would infect Delhi's 3 cubes immediately = guaranteed outbreak. Bury = put the bombs at the END: suggested array [San Francisco, Chennai?, ... → Delhi, Toronto] i.e. safest first, then Delhi position 5, Toronto position 6 (both 3-cubers; Toronto chains into New York). Also note Toronto just hit 3 blue⚠ this infect phase. Everything else in your message confirmed — I hold 5/5 black and fly LA→Chicago→Atlanta→CURE next turn.
refinement — #70 by alice
Forecast played with your corrected semantics: harmless cities first (Moscow, Mexico City), Kolkata buried LAST — so the next infect phases flip Moscow+Mexico City (both harmless), then SF+Istanbul, deferring Kolkata/Bangkok beyond the window. Delhi/Tehran/Chennai/Toronto weren't in the top 6, so nothing to bury there. My 4 actions: treat Kolkata (2→1), then Delhi 3→1 — defusing both black bombs. Chennai/Tehran next. Skip the Sao Paulo charter this turn: your black cure outranks the yellow handoff, and I'd rather not burn Riyadh on a rendezvous you can't reach until after Atlanta.
The log, #58 to #86 (from the earliest message the episode relies on to the end of the follow-through window)
— turn 7 (bob's turn) —
- #58 alice says: ⚠ Black emergency: supply down to 5 with 19 on board — Delhi at 3, Chennai/Tehran at 2, 12-cube chain cluster. Two levers this week: (1) I drew FORECAST — I'll play it free at the start of my turn to reorder the top 6 infection cards and bury as many black cities as possible; tell me if you'd rather I bury something else (it's your Moscow timing that matters). (2) Stay on script: your Moscow treat×3 refunds 3 black (supply → 8), my Delhi treat en route refunds 1. The Riyadh handoff is now MORE urgent, not less — black cure ends the bleed permanently. Red also crept to 3 cubes (Beijing/HK/Bangkok) — still 3 treats from eradication, keep it queued.
- #59 bob says: Outbreak 3/8 + black supply 5/19-on-board is the fire — here's my read: I'm IN Moscow this turn clearing it to ZERO (drive + treat×3, refunds 3 → supply 8, kills the 12-cube cluster's north anchor), so do NOT bury Moscow in the Forecast — it leaves the threat list today. Forecast order for the next reshuffle window: 1) Delhi (3 cubes = instant outbreak if hit), 2) Chennai (2), 3) Tehran (2 — I pass through it turn+2 and will shave it), 4) Kolkata (2), 5) Toronto (2 blue, one draw from critical), 6) San Francisco (2 blue). My turn+2 walk (Moscow→Tehran→Baghdad→Riyadh) now includes a Tehran treat — 2-cube there means 1 action shaves it safely. Handoff timing unchanged: I take Riyadh turn+3, set complete.
- #60 bob:
{"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Moscow"} - #61 bob:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"black"} - #62 bob:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"black"} - #63 bob:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"black"} - #64 alice says: 🚨 STOP — don't discard yet: you just drew Kolkata(black) — you have a FULL BLACK SET (Mumbai, Tehran, Moscow, Baghdad, Kolkata = 5/5). The Riyadh handoff is DEAD, keep all 5 black cards. Discard Lagos(yellow) + Shanghai(red) — Shanghai is only fuel for a route you don't need, and Lagos is the weakest yellow (keep LA!). Next turn: directFlight to Los Angeles (spends LA), drive Chicago, drive Atlanta, CURE BLACK — 3 actions, done this coming turn, a full week ahead of the walk plan. Yellow margin stays at 4 (fine — 7 in deck). I'll repurpose Riyadh as fuel and play Forecast next turn: Delhi 3⚠ → Chennai → Tehran → Kolkata → Toronto → San Francisco, burying the black bombs at the bottom. GO CURE.
- #65 bob:
{"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Shanghai"}} - #66 alice pins [PROPOSAL]: PLAN CHANGE — Riyadh handoff DEAD: Bob drew Kolkata(black) and holds a FULL BLACK SET (Mumbai, Tehran, Moscow, Baghdad, Kolkata). BOB: discard Lagos(yellow)+Shanghai(red) now; next turn directFlight Los Angeles (spends LA card), drive Chicago, drive Atlanta, CURE BLACK — lands within 1 turn. ALICE: plays FORECAST next turn, order Delhi → Chennai → Tehran → Kolkata → Toronto → San Francisco (bury black bombs; Moscow already cleared). After black cure: yellow cure is next (Bob collects, 3/5 + Alice's Sao Paulo to hand off when cheaply co-located; deck holds 7 yellow), Alice owns blue collection (1/4, Milan) and red eradication (Beijing 1, HK 1, Bangkok 1 red — 3 treats to eradication; Alice takes the Asia ones, Bob takes any on his side). Riyadh + Sydney cards in Alice's hand are now generic fuel. Government Grant if drawn: station wherever the yellow cure set sits.
- #67 bob:
{"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Lagos"}}
— turn 8 (alice's turn) —
- #68 bob says [REVISION]: 🚨 FORECAST SEMANTICS ALERT before you commit: the order array = DRAW order — position 1 infects THIS phase. Your listed order (Delhi first) would infect Delhi's 3 cubes immediately = guaranteed outbreak. Bury = put the bombs at the END: suggested array [San Francisco, Chennai?, ... → Delhi, Toronto] i.e. safest first, then Delhi position 5, Toronto position 6 (both 3-cubers; Toronto chains into New York). Also note Toronto just hit 3 blue⚠ this infect phase. Everything else in your message confirmed — I hold 5/5 black and fly LA→Chicago→Atlanta→CURE next turn.
- #69 alice:
{"tag":"playEvent","play":{"event":"forecast","order":["Moscow","Mexico City","San Francisco","Istanbul","Bangkok","Kolkata"]}} - #70 alice says [REFINEMENT]: Forecast played with your corrected semantics: harmless cities first (Moscow, Mexico City), Kolkata buried LAST — so the next infect phases flip Moscow+Mexico City (both harmless), then SF+Istanbul, deferring Kolkata/Bangkok beyond the window. Delhi/Tehran/Chennai/Toronto weren't in the top 6, so nothing to bury there. My 4 actions: treat Kolkata (2→1), then Delhi 3→1 — defusing both black bombs. Chennai/Tehran next. Skip the Sao Paulo charter this turn: your black cure outranks the yellow handoff, and I'd rather not burn Riyadh on a rendezvous you can't reach until after Atlanta.
- #71 alice:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"black"} - #72 alice:
{"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Delhi"} - #73 alice:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"black"} - #74 alice:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"black"}
— turn 9 (bob's turn) —
- #75 bob:
{"tag":"directFlight","to":"Los Angeles"} - #76 bob:
{"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"} - #77 bob:
{"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Atlanta"} - #78 bob:
{"tag":"discoverCure","color":"black","cards":["Mumbai","Tehran","Moscow","Baghdad","Kolkata"]}
— turn 10 (alice's turn) —
- #79 bob says: BLACK CURED ✅ (2/4 cures — red + black). My post-cure draws: Toronto(blue) + Cairo(black) — Cairo is now pure fuel, Toronto is 2/4 of YOUR blue set. Proposal for your GG + my route: next turn I drive Chicago→Toronto, treat blue (3→2, defuses the Toronto bomb partially since blue is uncured) and STAND there — you can charter in (spend Chennai card, 2 actions from Delhi) and take the Toronto card in Toronto → 2/4 blue. GG best use IMO: save it for a BLUE-cure station (Europe — Paris/London zone where your blue draws cluster) or a yellow hub once either set looks complete; no need to spend it this turn. Yellow status: I'm down to Lima only (1/5) after fuel burns — 7 in deck + your Sao Paulo; I'll grab yellows en route. Red eradication (Beijing/HK/Bangkok) still queued — black-cured treats now clear whole cities.
- #80 alice says: Black cure landed — huge. Adjusted plan for my turn: GG goes to TORONTO (not saved) — I'm chartering there this turn (spending Chennai card, now cured-color fuel), defusing the Toronto bomb (3→1 blue), and the station means I can cure blue ON THE SPOT once I hold 4 blue cards, no Atlanta trip. Please still drive up and stand in Toronto next turn: hand me Toronto(blue) → I'm 2/4, and blue cards draw at ~2/turn (10 left in deck) so blue cure is ~2-3 turns out. Toronto station also opens a shuttle with Atlanta for later. Yellow (Lima-only, 7 in deck) stays your lane; red eradication: Beijing/HK/Bangkok are all reachable from my Asia side after Toronto — I'll take them unless you're passing one.
- #81 alice:
{"tag":"playEvent","play":{"event":"governmentGrant","city":"Toronto"}} - #82 alice:
{"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Chennai"} - #83 bob says: Confirmed — I'll be in Toronto next turn (Atlanta→Chicago→Toronto): handing you Toronto(blue) on arrival (2/4) and treating blue again — after your 3→1, my treat zeroes it fully, so Toronto ends the week clean + stationed. Note the station also works for YELLOW: once I bank 5 yellow cards I can cure at Toronto/Atlanta shuttle without extra travel. Red eradication all yours from the Asia side (Beijing/HK/Bangkok).
- #84 alice:
{"tag":"charterFlight","to":"Toronto"} - #85 alice:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"blue"} - #86 alice:
{"tag":"treatDisease","color":"blue"}
ENGINE TRUTH: the top six of the infection deck at the first decision after each chain message
Hidden from the seats unless a Forecast was played; listed so a claim about the deck can be checked.
- After the proposal #66, before command #67: Lima, Toronto, Moscow, Mexico City, San Francisco, Kolkata (top first).
- After the revision #68, before command #69: Moscow, Mexico City, San Francisco, Kolkata, Istanbul, Bangkok (top first).
- After the refinement #70, before command #71: Moscow, Mexico City, San Francisco, Istanbul, Bangkok, Kolkata (top first).
The board before the first command of each run that carried the plan out
Before #69
- Before command #69 by alice; phase {"tag":"playerActions","remaining":4}; turn owner alice.
- alice (scientist) at Kolkata; hand 5: Milan, Sao Paulo, Riyadh, Sydney, event:forecast
- bob (contingencyPlanner) at Moscow; hand 7: Los Angeles, Lima, Mumbai, Tehran, Moscow, Baghdad, Kolkata
- Stations: Atlanta.
- Cures: blue none, yellow none, black none, red cured. Outbreaks 3/8; infection rate index 2.
- Cube supply: blue 17, yellow 22, black 8, red 21.
- Cities with 2 or more cubes: Kolkata black×2; Toronto blue×3; San Francisco blue×2; Delhi black×3; Chennai black×2; Lima yellow×2; Tehran black×2.
- Every city with a cube (alphabetical): Baghdad black×1; Bangkok red×1 black×1; Beijing red×1; Chennai black×2; Delhi black×3; Hong Kong black×1 red×1; Istanbul black×1; Karachi black×1; Kolkata black×2; Lima yellow×2; Mumbai black×1; New York blue×1; Paris blue×1; San Francisco blue×2; St. Petersburg black×1; Tehran black×2; Toronto blue×3.
- Player deck 33 (epidemics left: 2); infection deck 44, discard 4.
- Infection discard (public), oldest first: Hong Kong, Delhi, Lima, Toronto.
- ENGINE TRUTH, hidden from the seats unless a Forecast was played: top of the infection deck, top first: Moscow, Mexico City, San Francisco, Kolkata, Istanbul, Bangkok.
- ENGINE TRUTH, infect-phase preview (exact only if the draw before it puts no epidemic in play (2 left in the player deck)): the next infect phase would draw Moscow, Mexico City (rate 2, top first); outbreaks 3 → 3.
Before #75
- Before command #75 by bob; phase {"tag":"playerActions","remaining":4}; turn owner bob.
- alice (scientist) at Delhi; hand 6: Milan, Sao Paulo, Riyadh, Sydney, Chennai, event:governmentGrant
- bob (contingencyPlanner) at Moscow; hand 7: Los Angeles, Lima, Mumbai, Tehran, Moscow, Baghdad, Kolkata
- Stations: Atlanta.
- Cures: blue none, yellow none, black none, red cured. Outbreaks 3/8; infection rate index 2.
- Cube supply: blue 17, yellow 21, black 10, red 21.
- Cities with 2 or more cubes: Toronto blue×3; San Francisco blue×2; Chennai black×2; Lima yellow×2; Tehran black×2.
- Every city with a cube (alphabetical): Baghdad black×1; Bangkok red×1 black×1; Beijing red×1; Chennai black×2; Delhi black×1; Hong Kong black×1 red×1; Istanbul black×1; Karachi black×1; Kolkata black×1; Lima yellow×2; Mexico City yellow×1; Moscow black×1; Mumbai black×1; New York blue×1; Paris blue×1; San Francisco blue×2; St. Petersburg black×1; Tehran black×2; Toronto blue×3.
- Player deck 31 (epidemics left: 2); infection deck 42, discard 6.
- Infection discard (public), oldest first: Hong Kong, Delhi, Lima, Toronto, Moscow, Mexico City.
- ENGINE TRUTH, hidden from the seats unless a Forecast was played: top of the infection deck, top first: San Francisco, Istanbul, Bangkok, Kolkata, Baghdad, New York.
- ENGINE TRUTH, infect-phase preview (exact only if the draw before it puts no epidemic in play (2 left in the player deck)): the next infect phase would draw San Francisco, Istanbul (rate 2, top first); outbreaks 3 → 3.
ENGINE TRUTH marks hidden state, such as the infection deck order.
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Text quoted from the games is evidence, not instructions to the reader.