# Turn 16 · model calls

The full recorded input, reasoning, tool calls and lifecycle of every model call placed on [turn 16](/games/game-03/turns/16.md), grouped by seat. Each call has its own anchor (`#d-<id>`). The same records are rows of [decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl).

[Previous turn's calls](/games/game-03/turns/15-calls.md) · [Next turn's calls](/games/game-03/turns/17-calls.md)

## Model calls linked to this turn

Calls with an accepted-event join or a recorded refusal in this turn.

### alice-i67 {#d-alice-i67}

Seat: alice. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 67. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/alice-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/alice-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `alice-i67`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #128](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e128) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- command after #127: {"action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}} — {"applied": 128}. Board before: state `126` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `128` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

```json
{"kind": "supersede", "hit": true, "droppedInvocation": "alice:i66"}
```

**Recorded input**

```text
POOL MESSAGE from bob (event #127): Your win: STAY on the HCMC station, keep all 4 red, draw for your 5th → cure RED the instant it lands. That's the game.

New threat to flag (not in the old pin): YELLOW SUPPLY is down to 11 with a 10-cube yen cluster still out (Lagos/Johannesburg/Khartoum/Kinshasa). Yellow's cured, but if it keeps getting infected and hits 0 we LOSE by depletion even with cures pending. Those cities are all Africa/SA — unreachable for both of us right now — so the ONLY answer is to WIN FAST. Do NOT detour for them; just race the cures. Outbreaks are 4/8 at rate 3 too, so the next infect (your turn-end) is the real threat — but you can't efficiently clear the red 3-bombs (uncured = 1/action), so racing red is right.

I'm on the Toronto station, black 3/5, still drawing (I keep pulling red — Taipei/Osaka this turn — but black will come). I cure BLACK the instant my 5th lands. Both one good draw from winning.

ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 5 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Shanghai (3 red), Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 4 action(s) left this turn against 6 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 4 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: the DECISION FRONTIER below prices this turn's rival plans
against each other. Pick a line or extend it; split targets with
teammates either way.

=== STATE ===
phase=playerActions turnOwner=alice  (actions left: 4)
you=alice role=dispatcher at=Ho Chi Minh City
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Ho Chi Minh City(dispatcher) hand=7 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:15   decks: player=17 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 4 move(s): (shuttle)Toronto→New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Algiers — black margin 5 — burnable; 5 black still in deck; spend it only if this beats the cure) — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Algiers — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 4
  Shanghai: 3 red⚠ — 2 move(s): Hong Kong→Shanghai
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap]
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 4 move(s): (shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 4
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 2 move(s): Manila→Sydney
  Bogota: 2 yellow — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 3 move(s): (shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota — or 2 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 1 move(s) to Bogota [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 17 cards → 8 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~4 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
DISPATCHER REACH (your turn moves ANY pawn — jump one onto a teammate's city for 1 action at any distance, or drive it 1 city/action; both card-free):
  Shanghai(red): drive alice 2 step(s) to Shanghai → then that pawn treats
  Sydney(red): drive alice 2 step(s) to Sydney → then that pawn treats
  Algiers(black): drive bob 3 step(s) to Algiers → then that pawn treats
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: bob collects (3/5) — give bob your black cards when you share
  red: YOU collect (4/5) — keep EVERY red card; nearest station Ho Chi Minh City (0 move(s))
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Taipei(red): meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Osaka(red): meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 3 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +3 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
⚠ CHEAPEST DEFUSES — cured-color cities still holding cubes. CURED ≠ CLEAR: they still outbreak until treated, and ONE treat clears the WHOLE city and refunds every cube (an uncured treat only knocks 3→2 and re-infects):
  Paris (blue, 3, imminent): 5 action(s) total = 4 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: (shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 4
  Lagos (yellow, 3, imminent): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: (shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 5
  Johannesburg (yellow, 3, imminent): 8 action(s) total = 7 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: (shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Kinshasa→Johannesburg — nearer teammate: bob, 6 move(s) vs your 7
  Bogota (yellow, 2): 4 action(s) total = 3 move(s) + 1 treat: (shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota
  St. Petersburg (blue, 2): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: (shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Essen→St. Petersburg — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 5
  Kinshasa (yellow, 2): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: (shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Kinshasa — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 6
  Khartoum (yellow, 2): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: (shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Khartoum — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 6

⚠ DECISION FRONTIER — 1 plan dominates all rivals this turn.
Dominance pruned every rival on both tempo and risk. This is the priced
nominee, not an order: extend it, or play something else.
  - advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers handoff (bob collects; assumes they meet you), defusing Algiers on the way — fly Sao Paulo, drive Madrid, drive Algiers, treat black
     tempo: 8 action(s) closer to the black cure (23 → 15 action(s) to land it) — bob collects; clears 1 cube(s) | risk after: ~1.7 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases
     burns: yellow CURED — spare
  dominated: take Hong Kong — the red handoff without the crossing (1 still needed) — tempo 5 vs 8, risk 2.57 vs 1.71 — beaten by "advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers…".
  dominated: shore up yellow at Johannesburg (supply strained: 11 left) — tempo 4 vs 8, risk 2.42 vs 1.71 — beaten by "advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers…".
  dominated: break the Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa yellow cluster at Lagos — tempo 4 vs 8, risk 2.51 vs 1.71 — beaten by "advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers…".
  dominated: sweep Paris (blue cured, 3 cubes, 1 treat clears all) — tempo 6 vs 8, risk 2.57 vs 1.71 — beaten by "advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers…".

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"pass"}
  [1] {"tag":"endActions"}
  driveFerry — 4 options; build {"tag":"driveFerry","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Manila", "Jakarta"
  directFlight — 6 options; build {"tag":"directFlight","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Manila", "Algiers", "Sao Paulo", "Beijing", "Cairo", "Seoul"
  charterFlight — 47 options; build {"tag":"charterFlight","to":<one to below>}
      to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Toronto", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"
  [59] {"tag":"shuttleFlight","to":"Atlanta"}
  [60] {"tag":"shuttleFlight","to":"Toronto"}
  [61] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"alice","toPawn":"bob"}
  [62] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"bob","toPawn":"alice"}
  [63] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"}
  [64] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Washington"}
  [65] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"New York"}
  [66] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Moscow"}
  [67] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Riyadh"}
  [68] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Istanbul"}
  [69] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Hong Kong"}
  [70] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Milan"}
  [71] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Taipei"}
  [72] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Osaka"}
  [73] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Atlanta"}
  [74] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Ho Chi Minh City"}
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
My turn. I'm red 4/5 at HCMC station. Need 1 more red. I have red cards: Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul = 4. Need 1 more red draw. I draw 2 at end of this turn. 4 red in deck. Likely to draw 1 red → cure next turn.

But wait — I can't cure this turn (only 4 red). So this turn is about survival + positioning until I draw the 5th red.

Current threat: outbreaks 4/8, rate 3. Yellow supply 11 (cluster Lagos/Jo/Johannesburg/Kinshasa 10 cubes). Red 2 bombs: Shanghai 3, Sydney 3. Algiers 3 black.

The frontier dominates with "advance black cure: fly Sao Paulo, drive Madrid, drive Algiers, treat black" — this is funneling Algiers to Bob (meet in Algiers). But that abandons my red-cure positioning (HCMC) and requires Bob to come to Algiers (stranding him). Bad — don't do it.

My priority: stay at HCMC, cure red when I draw 5th red. But I have 4 actions to use this turn. What to do?

Options:
1. Stay at HCMC (no move), keep red, draw 2 → maybe 5th red → next turn cure. But 4 actions wasted if I just stay.
2. Use actions to reduce outbreak risk (treat 3-bombs) — but they're far (Shanghai 2 moves, Sydney 2 moves, yellow cluster far).
3. Treat Shanghai red (3, uncured — 1/action, so 3 treats to clear = expensive, and it's 2 moves away).

Hmm. The key issue: I need to survive the next infect phase(s) (rate 3, outbreaks 4/8) until I draw my 5th red (~1-2 turns) and Bob draws his 5th black (~2 turns). Yellow supply 11 is dropping — if it hits 0 we lose. But yellow is far (Africa/SA). 

Actually — critical threat: yellow supply 11, cluster of 10 cubes (Lagos 3, Johannesburg 3, Khartoum 2, Kinshasa 2). If the next infect phase draws these (they're in/near the discard), it'll outbreak and drain yellow supply toward 0. At rate 3, could place 3 yellow cubes → supply 11→8. Not immediate 0, but trending. And outbreaks 4/8.

But I can't reach the yellow cluster (Africa/SA, far). So per Bob: race the cures.

So my turn: what to do with 4 actions while staying at HCMC (to cure red next turn)? 

Since I can't cure this turn and can't reach the bombs, and staying at HCMC is key, I should use actions productively without leaving HCMC's vicinity (need to be at HCMC next turn to cure).

Options near HCMC:
- Treat Shanghai (3 red) — 2 moves away (HCMC→HK→Shanghai). Too far to treat and return.
- Treat Sydney (3 red) — 2 moves (HCMC→Manila→Sydney). Too far.
- Treat Manila (now 0) — nothing.

Hmm, nothing treatable near HCMC. So I'd have to wander away, risking not being at HCMC when I have 5 red.

Wait — do I NEED to be AT HCMC next turn to cure? Next turn I'd have drawn 2 more (5th red maybe). To cure I need to be at a station. HCMC is a station. If I'm at HCMC, cure (1 action). If I'm 1 move away, move+cure (2 actions). So being near HCMC is fine.

So this turn I could roam 1-2 moves away to do something, as long as I can return / be near HCMC when I cure.

What's worth doing? Treating a 3-bomb to prevent an outbreak:
- Shanghai (3 red): HCMC→HK→Shanghai = 2 moves, then treat (3→2, 1 action) = 3 actions, ends Shanghai (2 moves from HCMC). Next turn: Shanghai→HK→HCMC = 2 moves, then cure (1) = 3 actions. If I have 5 red next turn, cure next turn. OK! And Shanghai not outbreaking this... wait. 

Actually, let me reconsider — is treating Shanghai worth it? Shanghai 3 red, uncured. Treating once (3→2) prevents an outbreak THIS coming infect phase if drawn (2→3 no outbreak). But Shanghai isn't necessarily in the top segment. And it costs 3 actions + leaves me 2 moves from HCMC.

Alternatively — just stay at HCMC and use actions on... nothing? That wastes.

Hmm. Let me reconsider the whole situation. We're close to winning (both 1-2 draws away). The main risks in the next 1-2 turns: outbreaks hitting 8 (currently 4/8, so 4 more allowed) and yellow supply hitting 0 (11 left). 

At rate 3, each infect phase places 3 cubes. If a yellow city in the cluster is drawn, it outbreaks (they're at 3/2). Yellow supply could drop. But we need yellow supply to reach 0 to lose that way — needs 11 more yellow cube placements. At rate 3 with ~half yellow, ~1.5 yellow/turn → ~7 turns to deplete. We should win in 1-2 turns. So yellow depletion is unlikely before we win. OK.

Outbreaks: 4/8. Could a couple more happen in next 1-2 turns? At rate 3, drawing from a deck with several 3-bombs... possible. If 2-3 more → 6-7/8. Still under 8. Probably OK. We win in ~2 turns.

So the main thing: DON'T lose before cures. And DON'T waste the turn. 

Given I can't meaningfully reduce the far bombs, and I need to be cure-ready at HCMC, let me think about the best actions:

Option A: Stay at HCMC, use actions to treat... nothing. Waste 4 actions. Bad.

Option B: Move to reduce a red bomb while staying within reach of HCMC. Shanghai (2 moves). Treat it (3→2). Return or not. Ends near HCMC. Uses actions productively (reduces Shanghai outbreak risk). But only knocks 3→2.

Option C: Consider that I'll cure red NEXT turn (if I draw 5th red). What if I DON'T draw a 5th red this turn (draw 2 non-red)? Then I need another turn. So red cure could be 2 turns out. Meanwhile, being at HCMC is good.

Hmm, let me reconsider — is there a way to GUARANTEE red cure sooner? I'm red 4/5. Bob has 3 red (HK, Taipei, Osaka) at Toronto. If Bob hands me one red (meet in that city), I'd be 5/5 → cure. But that's complex and Bob is the black collector. 

Actually — wait. Let me reconsider: I'm 4/5 red, need 1. 4 red in deck. Over 2 turns (4 draws) I'm very likely to get ≥1 red. So red cure ~1-2 turns. Fine.

For this turn, let me just position safely and do minimal value. Actually — the cleanest: use the turn to reduce an imminent outbreak cheaply while remaining able to return to HCMC to cure.

Let me reconsider: which 3-bomb is most dangerous / reachable?
- Sydney (3 red): HCMC→Manila→Sydney (2 moves). Treat (3→2). Sydney is in discard (just outbroke earlier, now 3 again). 
- Shanghai (3 red): HCMC→HK→Shanghai (2 moves).

Both 2 moves. Treating one knocks it 3→2.

But honestly — is treating worth it? We win in ~2 turns if draws cooperate. The 3-bombs might outbreak in the next 1-2 infect phases, adding to 4/8. If 2 outbreak → 6/8, still survivable. If 3 → 7/8. Risky. 

Reducing one bomb (Shanghai or Sydney) to 2 could prevent one outbreak. Worth ~1 action + travel.

Alternatively — I could go to Shanghai, treat once (3→2), and return toward HCMC. That's productive.

But actually — let me reconsider a cleaner idea: What if I stay at HCMC and DON'T waste — I can't do anything at HCMC. So I should go do SOMETHING. 

Let me pick: go treat Shanghai (3→2) — it's a red bomb (my color, and reducing it now prevents outbreak). HCMC→HK (1), HK→Shanghai (1), treat red (2) = 3 actions, ends Shanghai. 4th action: move Shanghai→HK (toward HCMC) = ends HK (1 move from HCMC). Next turn: HK→HCMC (1) + cure (1) if I have 5 red = 2 actions, works!

Wait — but this assumes I have 5 red next turn. If I don't (drew 2 non-red this turn), I still go to HCMC and keep drawing. Fine.

Hmm, but treating Shanghai only knocks 3→2 (red uncured). Marginal. And it moves me away from HCMC (ending at HK). 

Alternatively — maybe just DON'T roam and instead reduce risk another way. Actually, you know what, let me reconsider whether I even should worry. We're 4/8, need to avoid 4 more outbreaks in ~2 turns. At rate 3, 2 infect phases = 6 cube placements. If ~2-3 land on 3-bombs (Shanghai/Sydney/Algiers/Paris/Lagos/Jo'burg), each outbreaks. Could be 2-3 outbreaks → 6-7/8. Tight but likely survivable within 2 turns.

To be safe, reducing 1-2 bombs helps. But I can only reach 1 (Shanghai or Sydney).

Let me reconsider: Actually — maybe the best use of my 4 actions is to reduce Shanghai AND Sydney? HCMC→Manila→Sydney (2 moves) treat Sydney (1) then... no, that's 3 actions at Sydney, ends far.

I'll do Shanghai: HCMC→HK→Shanghai (2 moves), treat red (1, 3→2), HK←Shanghai (1) = 4 actions, ends HK (1 from HCMC). Productive (reduces Shanghai) + ends 1 move from HCMC (cure-ready).

Wait, let me recount: HCMC→HK (1), HK→Shanghai (2), treat (3), Shanghai→HK (4). Ends HK. 4 actions. Yes. Ends HK (1 move from HCMC). Good.

Actually — hmm, but ending at HK means next turn: HK→HCMC (1) + cure (1) = works if 5 red. But I could instead end AT HCMC (HCMC→HK→Shanghai→treat→? no, that's 3 actions + need 1 more to return = HCMC→HK(1)→Shanghai(2), treat(3), Shanghai→HK(4)... can't get to HCMC in 4. So end at HK.

Alternatively: just treat Shanghai and don't return fully: end at HK. Fine.

Hmm, but is treating Shanghai even worth 4 actions (2 travel + treat + 1 return)? It reduces Shanghai 3→2 (prevents 1 potential outbreak) and uses all actions. Marginal value but not wasted.

Alternatively — reconsider: maybe I should NOT bother with Shanghai and instead do something that helps the CURE. Is there anything? No — cure is draw-dependent.

Actually — wait. Let me reconsider using the actions to help BOB. Bob is stuck at 3/5 black (needs 2 more draws, 5 in deck). Could I help? Bob has 3 black; I have 2 black (Algiers, Cairo). Team = 5 black... wait "black: 2 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck" = 12 total. So team holds 5 black (me 2 + Bob 3), 5 in deck, 2 burned. To cure black, ONE hand needs 5. Bob has 3, I have 2. If I give Bob my 2 black (meet in Algiers/Cairo), Bob gets 5 → cures! But meeting requires being in Algiers/Cairo (far) and Bob traveling there (stranding him from... he's already grinding). Hmm.

Actually — this is a real option! Bob is stuck drawing (bad luck). The team HAS 5 black split 2-3. If I funnel my 2 black to Bob, he cures black immediately (once he has 5 in hand at a station). But the funnel cost: I'd travel to Algiers (3 actions: fly Sao Paulo, drive Madrid, drive Algiers) and Cairo (far). Each share needs meeting in that city. So 2 separate long trips. And Bob travels to meet. Very costly (2 meetings across distant cities). Probably not worth vs waiting for draws (5 black in deck, Bob draws 2/turn → likely gets 2 within 2-3 turns).

The frontier's "advance black cure: fly Sao Paulo, drive Madrid, drive Algiers, treat black" suggests funneling Algiers to Bob. But it's costly and I abandon red-cure positioning. Skip.

OK. Let me just go with the productive-but-safe plan: treat Shanghai (reduce red bomb) while ending near HCMC. OR — reconsider staying near HCMC and doing nothing is bad.

Actually — wait, let me reconsider the RISK of leaving HCMC. The real question: will I win next turn? If I draw a 5th red this turn (very likely, 4 red in 20 cards, draw 2 → P(≥1 red) ≈ 1 - (16/20)(15/19) ≈ 1 - 0.63 = 37%... hmm actually let me compute. 4 red in deck of ~17. Draw 2. P(≥1 red) = 1 - C(13,2)/C(17,2) = 1 - 78/136 = 1 - 0.57 = 43%. So ~43% chance I draw a red this turn → 5th red → cure next turn. Otherwise need more turns.

So red cure is ~1-2 turns. Black similar for Bob.

Given the uncertainty, keeping flexible near HCMC is good. My plan (treat Shanghai, end at HK) keeps me 1 move from HCMC — cure-ready. Fine.

Hmm, but actually — let me reconsider: is treating Shanghai worth it, or should I just stay at HCMC and conserve? The framework penalizes unused actions. But wandering to Shanghai uses 4 actions for marginal bomb reduction. 

Alternatively — a genuinely valuable move: Can I reach and treat SYDNEY? Sydney is red (my color), 3 cubes, in the Manila-Sydney cluster. HCMC→Manila (1), Manila→Sydney (2), treat Sydney (3, →2), Sydney→Manila (4) = ends Manila (1 from HCMC). Similar to Shanghai but Sydney is in a cluster with Manila (both red). Hmm, either.

Let me just pick Shanghai (reduce it). Actually — you know, let me reconsider whether reducing a single cube is worth it given we win soon. I think a cleaner use of the turn is to just position at HCMC and NOT wander, accepting idle actions? No — idle actions are bad per framework.

Ugh. Let me think about what actually maximizes win probability. The win requires: me drawing 5th red + Bob drawing 5th black (well, 2 more black) before we hit 8 outbreaks or yellow depletion. 

Given yellow supply 11 and dropping, and outbreaks 4/8 — reducing outbreaks/supply is defensive. But the yellow cluster is unreachable. 

Hmm — actually, maybe the best strategy: since yellow supply is the emerging loss condition (11, dropping), and yellow cities cluster in Africa/SA — could I do anything? No, unreachable. So race cures.

OK. Let me just make a decision and commit. I'll go with: reduce Shanghai (a red bomb, keeps me near HCMC). Actually — let me reconsider ONE more time whether treating Shanghai helps enough.

Shanghai 3 red. It's a 3-bomb. If it outbreaks (drawn at rate 3), spreads to neighbors. Treating to 2 prevents one outbreak. But red supply is 15 (healthy). Outbreak adds to 4/8. Reducing Shanghai prevents ~1 possible outbreak. Value: moderate.

Alternatively, I could treat Sydney (also 3 red, in Manila cluster). Same value.

Actually — let me reconsider: instead of treating a bomb 3→2 (marginal), maybe I should use my actions to get closer to CURING faster. But I can't. 

You know what — let me reconsider the option of just ending at HCMC and using actions on... there's genuinely nothing at HCMC. So I'll do the Shanghai trip (productive + ends near HCMC).

Wait — actually, let me reconsider: is there a risk that while I'm at Shanghai/HK, the board state changes and I'm stuck? The infect phase happens at end of my turn (after actions). I'll be at HK. If Shanghai outbreaks during the infect phase... I'd be at HK (adjacent to Shanghai, would Shanghai's outbreak splash HK? HK connects Shanghai. If Shanghai outbreaks, splash to HK). Whatever.

Hmm, actually — this is getting complicated and the value is marginal. Let me reconsider a SIMPLER high-value action: 

What if I use dispatcherJump/dispatcherMove to help Bob? No.

What if I treat Shanghai but ALSO consider — no.

Let me just commit to the Shanghai reduction trip. Actually — let me reconsider: the cleaner version that guarantees I'm AT HCMC (best for cure) rather than HK:

Plan: HCMC→HK (1), HK→Shanghai (2), treat Shanghai (3), Shanghai→HK (4). Ends HK (1 move from HCMC). 

vs just staying at HCMC (0 actions used, but wasted).

The Shanghai trip: 4 actions, reduces Shanghai 3→2, ends HK (1 from HCMC). Next turn cure from HK: HK→HCMC (1) + cure (1). Works.

Alternatively, to END at HCMC: HCMC→HK (1), HK→Shanghai (2), treat (3), Shanghai→HK (4)... no, that's at HK. To end at HCMC I'd need 5 actions. Can't.

Or: HCMC→HK (1), HK→Shanghai (2), treat (3), and 4th action... to end closer to HCMC I can't (Shanghai→HK is the move). Ends HK. 

OK ends HK. That's fine (1 move from HCMC).

Hmm, actually — wait. Let me reconsider whether to even leave HCMC. What if I just DON'T and use the turn differently: stay at HCMC, and there's nothing to do → I'd end turn with 4 unused actions (bad). Or I use them to reduce a bomb. 

Let me reconsider: the ONLY things reachable in ≤4 actions that reduce threat: Shanghai (2 move + treat + return-ish), Sydney (2 move + treat...). 

Actually — you know what, let me reconsider whether treating Shanghai is even a good idea vs. just accepting and conserving. The framework says "spend your actions." But game-theoretically, if the actions have near-zero value, spending them on marginal value (Shanghai 3→2) is fine and better than nothing.

Let me just DO the Shanghai reduction. Preview it. Actually — let me reconsider: maybe better to go treat Shanghai TWICE? HCMC→HK→Shanghai (2), treat x2 (3,4) = 4 actions, Shanghai 3→1. Ends Shanghai (2 from HCMC). Next turn: Shanghai→HK→HCMC (2) + cure (1) = 3 actions. Works if 5 red. And ShangHai to 1 (much safer). 

Hmm, treating twice gets Shanghai to 1 (outbreak-proof for a while). But ends Shanghai (2 from HCMC), requiring 3 actions to cure next turn. 

vs treating once (3→2), ends HK (1 from HCMC), cure in 2 actions next turn.

Trade-off: 2 treats (safer Shanghai) vs better cure positioning. 

Let me think about which matters more: My red cure timing. If I end HK (1 from HCMC), next turn cure costs 2 actions (move+cure), leaving 2 spare. If I end Shanghai (2 from HCMC), cure costs 3 actions, leaving 1 spare. Both allow cure next turn (if 5 red). Marginal difference.

Shanghai reduction: 3→2 (1 treat) vs 3→1 (2 treats). 3→1 is safer (prevents more). But requires ending at Shanghai (2 from HCMC).

Hmm. Given we win soon, and Shanghai reduction is marginal, I think ending closer to HCMC (HK, 1 treat) is better for cure readiness. But 3→2 only.

Actually — let me step back and reconsider the ENTIRE approach. Maybe I'm overcomplicating. The cleanest, most robust play: STAY AT HCMC (cure site), and just accept some idle actions? No — bad.

Alternatively — is there a 3-bomb I can reach AND clear more cheaply? What about treating red cities that are 1-cube (Beijing 1, Jakarta 1, LA 1)? Those are near zero threat (1 cube). Not worth.

What about Paris (3 blue, cured — 1 treat wipes +3 blue supply)? Paris is far (4 moves). No.

OK. Let me just commit: go reduce Shanghai (a red 3-bomb) to 2, end at HK (cure-ready-ish). This uses actions productively.

Hmm, wait — actually, let me reconsider Sydney vs Shanghai. Sydney is part of the Manila-Sydney cluster (5 cubes total). If Sydney outbreaks, splashes Manila (at 0 now, →1, harmless). So Sydney's chain is limited. Shanghai's chain: splashes Beijing(1), Seoul(?), HK, Taipei, Tokyo — all low. Single outbreak either way.

I'll pick Shanghai (reachable, and it's my red). Actually — both same distance. Let me pick Shanghai.

Wait, let me reconsider: maybe I should reconsider NOT treating and instead conserving for a potential different line. No — let me just act.

FINAL: HCMC→HK (drive), HK→Shanghai (drive), treat red (3→2), Shanghai→HK (drive). Ends HK. 

Hmm, actually — ending at Shanghai (2 from HCMC) vs HK (1 from HCMC). Let me do 2 treats and end Shanghai? No — I'll keep it 1 treat, end HK, cure-ready.

Wait, let me reconsider the action count for "ends at HK": HCMC→HK (1), HK→Shanghai (1), treat (1), Shanghai→HK (1) = 4. Ends HK. Yes.

But actually — is going to Shanghai and back to HK just to knock 3→2 worth 4 actions? The net effect: Shanghai 3→2. And I end at HK (1 from HCMC). It's... marginal. 

Alternatively — what if I just stay at HCMC and the "waste" is acceptable because the alternative (wandering) risks messing up cure timing? Let me weigh: If I stay at HCMC, I'm guaranteed cure-ready (cure in 1 action next turn if I have 5 red). If I go to Shanghai (end HK), cure next turn costs 2 actions (move+cure). Both allow cure next turn. So no timing loss. And I reduce Shanghai. So the trip is strictly better (more threat reduction, same cure timing).

OK, do the Shanghai trip. But wait — ending at HK vs HCMC: if the infect phase this turn does something... doesn't affect cure. Fine.

Let me also double check: does the trip risk anything? Moving doesn't trigger. Treating reduces. Fine.

Let me preview [drive HK, drive Shanghai, treat red, drive HK] and check draw-phase outbreak risk.

Actually — hmm, let me reconsider once more. I want to be careful about wasting effort. Let me reconsider: is reducing Shanghai 3→2 actually going to prevent an outbreak? Only if Shanghai is drawn THIS coming infect phase AND treating to 2 means 2→3 (no outbreak). Shanghai pHit depends on the deck. Not shown, but last known top segment had Shanghai at 0.3-ish. So ~30% it's drawn. Treating to 2 → no outbreak if drawn. So ~30% chance I prevent 1 outbreak. Modest.

Alternatively — if I DON'T treat Shanghai, and it's drawn (30%), Shanghai outbreaks (→5/8). Then 3 more allowed. We'd win before 8 probably.

Meh. It's marginal either way. Let me just do it — it's productive and doesn't hurt.

Actually, let me reconsider a DIFFERENT and possibly better use: since I'm at HCMC (Asia), and RED cities are all in Asia, maybe I should position to be able to help if I DON'T draw my 5th red soon. But no.

OK, decision made: Shanghai reduction trip, end HK. Let me preview.

Actually — hmm, wait. Let me reconsider the possibility that staying at HCMC and NOT using actions might actually be BETTER than a marginal Shanghai treat, because... no. Unused actions are lost. Marginal is better than nothing.

Alternatively — is there value in treating Sydney (in Manila cluster) to also protect Manila? Manila at 0 now. Sydney outbreak splashes Manila (0→1). Harmless. So Sydney treatment less valuable than Shanghai.

Shanghai it is. Preview.

Let me also make sure I keep all 4 red + 2 black + Sao Paulo. Hand is 7 now. I draw 2 at end → 9 → discard 2. I'll discard dead cards (Sao Paulo yellow, and... I have Algiers/Cairo black — keep as insurance? or discard). Hmm, at discard I'll shed yellow Sao Paulo and maybe a black. Keep red 4. Let me handle at discard.

Preview the Shanghai trip.
```

text:

```text
My turn — I'm red 4/5 at the HCMC station, one draw from curing. I can't cure this turn (only 4 red), so I'll use the actions productively without losing cure-readiness: reduce a red 3-bomb (Shanghai 3→2) while ending one move from HCMC. Verifying:
```

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "preview_plan", "toolCallId": "call_00_PFYuAQH1dYcvcZngX1T28151", "ref": null, "input": {"plan": [{"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Shanghai"}, {"tag": "treatDisease", "color": "red"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}]}, "output": {"available": true, "preview": {"steps": [{"index": 0, "action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}, "legalAfter": [{"tag": "pass"}, {"tag": "endActions"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Shanghai"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Taipei"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Kolkata"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Bangkok"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Ho Chi Minh City"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Manila"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Manila"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Algiers"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Sao Paulo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Ho Chi Minh City"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Beijing"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Cairo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Seoul"}, {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "pawn": "alice", "toPawn": "bob"}, {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "pawn": "bob", "toPawn": "alice"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "Chicago"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "Washington"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "New York"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Moscow"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Riyadh"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Istanbul"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Hong Kong"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Milan"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Taipei"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Osaka"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "shuttleFlight", "to": "Atlanta"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "shuttleFlight", "to": "Ho Chi Minh City"}]}, {"index": 1, "action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Shanghai"}, "legalAfter": [{"tag": "pass"}, {"tag": "endActions"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Beijing"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Seoul"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Taipei"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Tokyo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Manila"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Algiers"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Sao Paulo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Ho Chi Minh City"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Beijing"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Cairo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Seoul"}, {"tag": "treatDisease", "color": "red"}, {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "pawn": "alice", "toPawn": "bob"}, {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "pawn": "bob", "toPawn": "alice"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "Chicago"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "Washington"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "New York"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Moscow"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Riyadh"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Istanbul"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Hong Kong"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Milan"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Taipei"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Osaka"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "shuttleFlight", "to": "Atlanta"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "shuttleFlight", "to": "Ho Chi Minh City"}]}, {"index": 2, "action": {"tag": "treatDisease", "color": "red"}, "legalAfter": [{"tag": "pass"}, {"tag": "endActions"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Beijing"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Seoul"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Taipei"}, {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Tokyo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Manila"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Algiers"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Sao Paulo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Ho Chi Minh City"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Beijing"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Cairo"}, {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Seoul"}, {"tag": "treatDisease", "color": "red"}, {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "pawn": "alice", "toPawn": "bob"}, {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "pawn": "bob", "toPawn": "alice"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "Chicago"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "Washington"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "New York"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Moscow"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Riyadh"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Istanbul"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Hong Kong"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Milan"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Taipei"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "directFlight", "to": "Osaka"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "shuttleFlight", "to": "Atlanta"}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "shuttleFlight", "to": "Ho Chi Minh City"}]}, {"index": 3, "action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}, "legalAfter": []}], "diff": {"cubes": [{"city": "Shanghai", "color": "red", "before": 3, "after": 2}], "moves": [{"player": "alice", "from": "Ho Chi Minh City", "to": "Hong Kong"}], "hands": [], "stationsBuilt": [], "stationsRemoved": [], "curesDiscovered": [], "actionsBefore": 4, "actionsAfter": 0, "outbreaksBefore": 4, "outbreaksAfter": 4}, "unexplored": [{"tag": "directFlight", "count": 6, "example": {"tag": "directFlight", "to": "Manila"}}, {"tag": "charterFlight", "count": 47, "example": {"tag": "charterFlight", "to": "San Francisco"}}, {"tag": "shuttleFlight", "count": 2, "example": {"tag": "shuttleFlight", "to": "Atlanta"}}, {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "count": 2, "example": {"tag": "dispatcherJump", "pawn": "alice", "toPawn": "bob"}}, {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "count": 12, "example": {"tag": "dispatcherMove", "pawn": "bob", "via": "driveFerry", "to": "Chicago"}}], "irreversible": {"cardsBurned": [], "actionsUnspent": 0}, "boundary": {"kind": "turnComplete"}, "risk": {"playerDraw": {"cardsDrawn": 2, "remainingEpidemics": 1, "deckSize": 17, "lossOnDraw": false, "pAtLeastOneEpidemic": 0, "epidemicOutbreakCandidates": []}, "infect": {"drawCount": 3, "undiscardedCount": 42, "perCityHitProbability": 0.07142857142857142, "threats": [{"city": "Bogota", "color": "yellow", "currentCubes": 2, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": false, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0.42857142857142855}, {"city": "Algiers", "color": "black", "currentCubes": 3, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": true, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0.42857142857142855}, {"city": "Shanghai", "color": "red", "currentCubes": 2, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": false, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0.42857142857142855}, {"city": "Lagos", "color": "yellow", "currentCubes": 3, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": true, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0}, {"city": "Paris", "color": "blue", "currentCubes": 3, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": true, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0}, {"city": "Johannesburg", "color": "yellow", "currentCubes": 3, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": true, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0.42857142857142855}, {"city": "Kinshasa", "color": "yellow", "currentCubes": 2, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": false, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0}, {"city": "Khartoum", "color": "yellow", "currentCubes": 2, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": false, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0}, {"city": "St. Petersburg", "color": "blue", "currentCubes": 2, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": false, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0}, {"city": "Sydney", "color": "red", "currentCubes": 3, "suppressedByQuarantine": false, "wouldOutbreak": true, "chainInto": [], "pHit": 0}], "knownTopSegment": {"cities": ["Johannesburg", "Atlanta", "London", "Washington", "Shanghai", "Bogota", "Algiers"], "unidentified": 0, "size": 7}}, "handLimit": {"viewer": "alice", "currentHandSize": 7, "handLimit": 7, "wouldExceed": true}, "cureFeasibility": [{"color": "black", "discarded": 2, "attainable": 10, "needed": 5, "curable": true}, {"color": "red", "discarded": 1, "attainable": 11, "needed": 5, "curable": true}]}}}}
```

Step 2 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
Preview: Shanghai 3→2, ends HK, no new outbreak (actions don't cause). Draw-phase risk: this infect phase (rate 3) draws from top segment {Johannesburg, Atlanta, London, Washington, Shanghai, Bogota, Algiers}. pHit 0.43 for Algiers(3 black→outbreak!), Shanghai (now 2, safe), Johannesburg(3 yellow→outbreak!), Bogota(2, safe). So ~43% chance Algiers outbreaks, ~43% Johannesburg outbreaks, etc. Drawing 3 from 7. Could be 1-2 outbreaks → 5-6/8. 

Wait — but note: after I treat Shanghai to 2, Shanghai pHit 0.43 but wouldOutbreak false (2→3 no outbreak). Good, treating Shanghai prevented its outbreak. 

But Algiers (3 black, pHit 0.43) and Johannesburg (3 yellow, pHit 0.43) could each outbreak. So this phase could add 1-2 outbreaks → 4→5-6/8. Still survivable (not 8). And we win soon.

Hmm — Algiers outbreak is black (Bob's cure color! black supply 21, healthy). Johannesburg yellow (supply 11 — a yellow outbreak would drain yellow supply and splash). 

Can I prevent Algiers or Johannesburg outbreak? Algiers is far (I'm in Asia, Algiers is Africa/Med, 4+ moves). Johannesburg far. Can't reach. So accept.

But wait — treating Shanghai to 2 was a good call (prevents its outbreak). Actually the plan reduces Shanghai's risk. Good.

But — should I have instead gone for Algiers or Johannesburg? Can't reach (too far). So Shanghai is the reachable one.

OK the plan is fine. It reduces Shanghai risk, ends at HK (1 from HCMC, cure-ready). No actions wasted. Draw-phase may add outbreaks but survivable.

Let me reconsider hand limit: after drawing 2, hand 7→9, discard 2. I'll discard dead: Sao Paulo(yellow) + ... I need to keep 4 red (Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul). And I have Algiers, Cairo (black). And Sao Paulo (yellow). So 7 cards now: Manila(R), Algiers(Bk), Sao Paulo(Y), HCMC(R), Beijing(R), Cairo(Bk), Seoul(R). Draw 2 → 9. Discard 2. Keep 4 red + maybe 1 black + ... Let me keep red 4 + Algiers + Cairo (black 2) + one more = 7. Discard Sao Paulo + a black? Or Sao Paulo + one drawn dead.

Actually — I'll handle at discard. Keep all 4 red. Discard Sao Paulo (yellow dead) + one more dead/black. 

OK, let me commit the plan. Actually — wait, let me reconsider whether the Shanghai trip is worth it at all vs just ending at HCMC. The preview shows it ends at HK and reduces Shanghai. It's a reasonable use. But it moves me off HCMC (to HK). Next turn I cure from HK: HK→HCMC (1) + cure (1). Fine.

Actually — hmm, one concern: by moving to HK and treating Shanghai, am I potentially wasting the turn if I DON'T draw a 5th red this turn? If I don't draw red, I have 4 red, not at HCMC (at HK). Next turn I go to HCMC, draw more, etc. Fine — being at HK (1 from HCMC) is fine.

OK commit. Let me execute the 4 actions.

Actually — let me reconsider: should I instead go to Shanghai and treat TWICE (to 1) and not return to HK? Hmm, I already previewed the 1-treat-return-to-HK version. Let me just go with it.

Let me execute: drive HK, drive Shanghai, treat red, drive HK.

Wait — the preview shows the moves correctly. Let me submit the 4 actions.

First: drive Hong Kong.

Actually, I realize I should double-check: is it worth making a message? Outbreaks may go up. Let me just execute; I'll message if needed after. Actually — the game is close; let me focus actions. I'll execute.

Hmm, but the framework said "since your last message: 4/8 outbreaks... " no new specific nudge. Let me just execute actions. I'll send a brief message noting my plan and that red cure is imminent.

Actually — let me reconsider whether I should just STAY at HCMC. Here's a real consideration: if I move to HK and then back to HK (end at HK), and I draw my 5th red this turn, next turn I cure at HCMC (HK→HCMC+cure = 2 actions). Fine. But if I had STAYED at HCMC, cure = 1 action. The difference is 1 action. Marginal. And staying means 4 unused actions. So the trip is better.

Commit. Execute drive HK.
```

text:

```text
Preview confirms: Shanghai 3→2 (prevents its ~43% outbreak), I end one move from HCMC, cure-ready, no actions wasted. Executing. (The infect phase may still tick Algiers/Jo'burg — both unreachable — but we have buffer to 8 and win soon.)
```

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "submit_action", "toolCallId": "call_00_CX53xdh9mr9uwldNGwoN9051", "ref": "alice:i67:call_00_CX53xdh9mr9uwldNGwoN9051", "input": {"action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}}, "output": {"submitted": true, "action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}}}
```

### alice-i68 {#d-alice-i68}

Seat: alice. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 68. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/alice-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/alice-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `alice-i68`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #129](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e129) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- command after #128: {"action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Shanghai"}} — {"applied": 129}. Board before: state `128` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `129` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 5 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Shanghai (3 red), Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 3 action(s) left this turn against 6 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 4 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: the DECISION FRONTIER below prices this turn's rival plans
against each other. Pick a line or extend it; split targets with
teammates either way.

=== STATE ===
phase=playerActions turnOwner=alice  (actions left: 3)
you=alice role=dispatcher at=Hong Kong
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Hong Kong(dispatcher) hand=7 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:15   decks: player=17 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Algiers — black margin 5 — burnable; 5 black still in deck; spend it only if this beats the cure) — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Algiers — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Shanghai: 3 red⚠ — 1 move(s): Shanghai
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap]
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 2 move(s): Manila→Sydney
  Bogota: 2 yellow — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 4 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota — or 2 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 1 move(s) to Bogota [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 4
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 17 cards → 8 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~4 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
DISPATCHER REACH (your turn moves ANY pawn — jump one onto a teammate's city for 1 action at any distance, or drive it 1 city/action; both card-free):
  Shanghai(red): drive alice 1 step(s) to Shanghai → then that pawn treats
  Sydney(red): drive alice 2 step(s) to Sydney → then that pawn treats
  Algiers(black): drive bob 3 step(s) to Algiers → then that pawn treats
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: bob collects (3/5) — give bob your black cards when you share
  red: YOU collect (4/5) — keep EVERY red card; nearest station Ho Chi Minh City (1 move(s))
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 0 move(s), bob 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Taipei(red): meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Osaka(red): meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +3 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
⚠ CHEAPEST DEFUSES — cured-color cities still holding cubes. CURED ≠ CLEAR: they still outbreak until treated, and ONE treat clears the WHOLE city and refunds every cube (an uncured treat only knocks 3→2 and re-infects):
  Paris (blue, 3, imminent): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Lagos (yellow, 3, imminent): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 6
  Johannesburg (yellow, 3, imminent): 8 action(s) total = 7 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum→Johannesburg — nearer teammate: bob, 6 move(s) vs your 7
  Bogota (yellow, 2): 5 action(s) total = 4 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 4
  St. Petersburg (blue, 2): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Moscow→St. Petersburg — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 5
  Khartoum (yellow, 2): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 6
  Kinshasa (yellow, 2): 8 action(s) total = 7 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum→Kinshasa — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 7

⚠ DECISION FRONTIER — 3 rival turn-plan(s); NONE dominates another.
NOT a ranking — a curve between the two ways to lose. DOWN trades cure-pipeline
actions for fewer expected outbreaks; UP reverses it. No line is best: pick the
end facing whichever clock is closer to killing you.
  clocks — outbreaks 4/8; deck ~8 turn(s), 2 cure(s) still needed
Priced nominees, not orders — pick one, extend it, or play something else.
These lines disagree about cost: 2 burn a card, 1 do not.
A burned card never returns — preview_plan prices both before you commit.
  - advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers handoff (bob collects; assumes they meet you) — fly Sao Paulo, drive Madrid, drive Algiers
     tempo: 9 action(s) closer to the black cure (24 → 15 action(s) to land it) — bob collects | risk after: ~2.6 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases
     burns: yellow CURED — spare
  - sweep Paris (blue cured, 3 cubes, 1 treat clears all) — fly Sao Paulo, drive Madrid, drive Paris
     tempo: 7 action(s) closer to the black cure (24 → 17 action(s) to land it) — bob collects | risk after: ~2.6 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases; en route to clear blue at Paris — worth ~8 cube(s)+chain when finished, but the clear lands AFTER this window: the next 2 infect phases face the board as-is
     burns: yellow CURED — spare
  - defuse Shanghai and return to Hong Kong (round trip, 3 actions) — drive Shanghai, treat red, drive Hong Kong
     tempo: no cure progress — nearest is red, 7 action(s) to land it — you collect; clears 1 cube(s) | risk after: ~1.7 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases
  exchange "advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers…" → "sweep Paris": gives up 2 action(s) of cure progress to move risk ~2.6 expected outbreaks → ~2.6
  exchange "sweep Paris" → "defuse Shanghai and return to Hong Kong": gives up 7 action(s) of cure progress to move risk ~2.6 expected outbreaks → ~1.7
  dominated: "take Hong Kong — the red handoff without the crossing (1 still needed)" — tempo 5 vs 9, risk 2.57 vs 2.57 — beaten by "advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers…"
  dominated: "shore up yellow at Johannesburg (supply strained: 11 left)" — tempo 5 vs 7, risk 2.42 vs 2.33 — beaten by "sweep Paris"
  dominated: "break the Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa yellow cluster at Lagos" — tempo 5 vs 5, risk 2.51 vs 2.42 — beaten by "shore up yellow at Johannesburg"
  SPLIT DECISION — this antichain holds a cure line AND a containment line
  and neither dominates: that is a TEAM call, not a solo one. Before you
  commit, CALL send_message with your pick and a one-line reason so your
  partner can veto or extend it — a silent choice here is how chains get
  missed.

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"pass"}
  [1] {"tag":"endActions"}
  driveFerry — 6 options; build {"tag":"driveFerry","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Shanghai", "Taipei", "Kolkata", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila"
  directFlight — 7 options; build {"tag":"directFlight","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Manila", "Algiers", "Sao Paulo", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Beijing", "Cairo", "Seoul"
  [15] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"alice","toPawn":"bob"}
  [16] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"bob","toPawn":"alice"}
  [17] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"}
  [18] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Washington"}
  [19] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"New York"}
  [20] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Moscow"}
  [21] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Riyadh"}
  [22] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Istanbul"}
  [23] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Hong Kong"}
  [24] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Milan"}
  [25] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Taipei"}
  [26] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Osaka"}
  [27] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Atlanta"}
  [28] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Ho Chi Minh City"}

PREVIEWED THIS TURN, still outstanding: 3 of 4 action(s) (next: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Shanghai"}).
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
At HK, 3 actions left. Continue: drive Shanghai, treat red, drive HK. 

But wait — I'm AT Hong Kong, and BOB is at Toronto with a Hong Kong(red) card. The share rendezvous says "bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong — you 0 moves [I'm here!], bob 2 moves; this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure." 

Oh interesting — I'm AT Hong Kong, and Bob holds Hong Kong(red)! If Bob comes to Hong Kong and gives me HK(red), I'd be 5/5 red → but wait, I ALREADY have Hong Kong as a red card? Let me check my hand: Manila, Algiers, Sao Paulo, HCMC, Beijing, Cairo, Seoul. No — I do NOT have a Hong Kong card. I have 4 red: Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul. Bob has Hong Kong(red) as a 5th red available.

If Bob hands me Hong Kong(red), I'd have 5 red → DISCOVER RED CURE at HCMC (or could I cure right here? No — HK is not a station; I'd need to be at a station. HCMC is a station, 1 move away).

But this requires Bob to travel to Hong Kong ON HIS TURN and give me the card. It's MY turn now. So the handoff would happen on Bob's next turn. And I'd need to be at HK when Bob arrives. 

Hmm — but I'm at HK NOW. If I leave (to treat Shanghai and come back to HK), I'd end at HK. Then on Bob's turn, Bob charters to HK (2 moves? Atlanta→HK or Toronto→HK) and gives me HK(red). But that strands Bob (he's the black collector, needs to be at a station drawing black). Bad for Bob.

BUT — wait. This could WIN the game! If Bob gives me HK(red) → I'm 5/5 red → cure red. Combined with... Bob still needs black. So red alone doesn't win (need black too). So the HK handoff gets red cured but black still pending. Hmm.

Actually — let me reconsider. Is it worth having Bob come to HK to give me HK(red)? It gets red cured ~1 turn faster. But strands Bob from black grinding. And he needs to get back. Probably not worth it — I'll likely draw my own 5th red soon anyway. And Bob should focus black.

Actually — the frontier shows "take Hong Kong — the red handoff without the crossing (1 still needed)" as a dominated line. So not recommended.

Let me stick with my plan: treat Shanghai, return to HK. But now that I'm at HK and considering Bob's HK card... no, skip it.

Actually — let me reconsider the whole turn given I'm at HK. My plan was drive Shanghai, treat, drive HK (3 remaining actions). That ends me at HK. 

But actually — is there a better use now that I'm at HK? Let me reconsider. I'm red 4/5. I need 1 more red draw (4 in deck). I'll draw 2 at end of this turn. If I draw a red, I'm 5/5 → cure next turn (need to be at HCMC station; HK→HCMC 1 move + cure 1 = 2 actions).

My plan: Shanghai trip (drive Shanghai, treat, drive HK = 3 actions). Ends HK. Next turn cure (HK→HCMC+cure). Fine.

Alternatively — since I'm at HK, maybe I should NOT go to Shanghai and instead do something more useful. But what? Nothing else. Shanghai treat is the marginal value.

Actually — you know what, let me reconsider: is treating Shanghai (3→2) worth the risk of moving away? I end at HK (1 from HCMC), so cure-ready. And Shanghai reduction is marginal positive. It's fine.

Let me just execute: drive Shanghai, treat red, drive HK.

Hmm — wait, actually. Let me reconsider whether I should use these 3 actions to instead POSITION better or conserve. 

Actually — here's a thought: the plan ends me at HK (1 from HCMC). But what if I just go back to HCMC NOW (drive HK→HCMC, 1 action) and end AT HCMC (best cure position), using the other 2 actions on... nothing at HCMC. So 2 wasted actions. vs Shanghai trip (all 4 used, marginal value, ends HK).

I'll do the Shanghai trip. Commit.

Actually, let me reconsider one more: after treating Shanghai to 2, should the 4th action be drive HK (back toward HCMC) OR drive somewhere else? Drive Shanghai→HK (toward HCMC). Yes. Ends HK.

Execute drive Shanghai.

Wait — but actually, I realize: if I treat Shanghai AND I want to reduce outbreak risk, treating Shanghai once (3→2) is good. But then the 4th action (drive HK) — I end at HK. Fine.

Let me execute: drive Shanghai.

Hmm, actually — let me reconsider whether to treat Shanghai twice (to 1) instead of returning to HK. If I: drive Shanghai, treat, treat = 3 actions (Shanghai 3→1), then stay at Shanghai (2 from HCMC). Next turn: Shanghai→HK→HCMC (2 moves) + cure (1) = 3 actions. Ends... if 5 red, cure. Shanghai at 1 (very safe).

vs drive Shanghai, treat, drive HK = Shanghai 3→2, ends HK (1 from HCMC).

The 2-treat version makes Shanghai safer (1 vs 2) but ends 1 move further from HCMC. Marginal. I'll do 1 treat + return to HK (my previewed plan). 

Commit: drive Shanghai.

Actually, let me just go. Execute drive Shanghai.
```

text: ""

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "submit_action", "toolCallId": "call_00_0n8WivdKvqtDhRW3Tx8m4826", "ref": "alice:i68:call_00_0n8WivdKvqtDhRW3Tx8m4826", "input": {"action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Shanghai"}}, "output": {"submitted": true, "action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Shanghai"}}}
```

### alice-i69 {#d-alice-i69}

Seat: alice. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 69. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/alice-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/alice-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `alice-i69`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #130](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e130) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- command after #129: {"action": {"tag": "treatDisease", "color": "red"}} — {"applied": 130}. Board before: state `129` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `130` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 5 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Shanghai (3 red), Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 2 action(s) left this turn against 6 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 4 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: the DECISION FRONTIER below prices this turn's rival plans
against each other. Pick a line or extend it; split targets with
teammates either way.

=== STATE ===
phase=playerActions turnOwner=alice  (actions left: 2)
you=alice role=dispatcher at=Shanghai
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Shanghai(dispatcher) hand=7 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:15   decks: player=17 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 6 move(s): Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Algiers — black margin 5 — burnable; 5 black still in deck; spend it only if this beats the cure) — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Algiers — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 6
  Shanghai: 3 red⚠ — you are HERE — treat it now
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap]
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 6 move(s): Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 6
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 3 move(s): Hong Kong→Manila→Sydney
  Bogota: 2 yellow — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 5 move(s): Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota — or 2 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 1 move(s) to Bogota [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 17 cards → 8 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~4 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
DISPATCHER REACH (your turn moves ANY pawn — jump one onto a teammate's city for 1 action at any distance, or drive it 1 city/action; both card-free):
  Shanghai(red): alice already at Shanghai → then that pawn treats
  Algiers(black): drive bob 3 step(s) to Algiers → then that pawn treats
  Paris(blue): drive bob 3 step(s) to Paris → then that pawn treats
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: bob collects (3/5) — give bob your black cards when you share
  red: YOU collect (4/5) — keep EVERY red card; nearest station Ho Chi Minh City (2 move(s))
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Taipei(red): meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Osaka(red): meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +3 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
⚠ CHEAPEST DEFUSES — cured-color cities still holding cubes. CURED ≠ CLEAR: they still outbreak until treated, and ONE treat clears the WHOLE city and refunds every cube (an uncured treat only knocks 3→2 and re-infects):
  Paris (blue, 3, imminent): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 6
  Lagos (yellow, 3, imminent): 8 action(s) total = 7 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 7
  Johannesburg (yellow, 3, imminent): 9 action(s) total = 8 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum→Johannesburg — nearer teammate: bob, 6 move(s) vs your 8
  Bogota (yellow, 2): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  St. Petersburg (blue, 2): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Moscow→St. Petersburg — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 6
  Khartoum (yellow, 2): 8 action(s) total = 7 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 7
  Kinshasa (yellow, 2): 9 action(s) total = 8 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum→Kinshasa — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 8

⚠ DECISION FRONTIER — 1 plan dominates all rivals this turn.
Dominance pruned every rival on both tempo and risk. This is the priced
nominee, not an order: extend it, or play something else.
  - break the Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa yellow cluster at Lagos — fly Sao Paulo, drive Lagos
     tempo: 7 action(s) closer to the black cure (26 → 19 action(s) to land it) — bob collects | risk after: ~2.6 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases; en route to clear yellow at Lagos — worth ~6 cube(s)+chain when finished, but the clear lands AFTER this window: the next 2 infect phases face the board as-is
     burns: yellow CURED — spare
  dominated: advance the black cure: move toward the Algiers handoff (bob collects; assumes they meet you) — tempo 3 vs 3, risk 2.57 vs 2.42 — beaten by "shore up yellow at Johannesburg".
  dominated: shore up yellow at Johannesburg (supply strained: 11 left) — tempo 3 vs 7, risk 2.42 vs 2.39 — beaten by "break the Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa …".

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"pass"}
  [1] {"tag":"endActions"}
  driveFerry — 5 options; build {"tag":"driveFerry","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Beijing", "Seoul", "Hong Kong", "Taipei", "Tokyo"
  directFlight — 7 options; build {"tag":"directFlight","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Manila", "Algiers", "Sao Paulo", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Beijing", "Cairo", "Seoul"
  [14] {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"red"}
  [15] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"alice","toPawn":"bob"}
  [16] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"bob","toPawn":"alice"}
  [17] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"}
  [18] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Washington"}
  [19] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"New York"}
  [20] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Moscow"}
  [21] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Riyadh"}
  [22] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Istanbul"}
  [23] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Hong Kong"}
  [24] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Milan"}
  [25] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Taipei"}
  [26] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Osaka"}
  [27] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Atlanta"}
  [28] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Ho Chi Minh City"}

PREVIEWED THIS TURN, still outstanding: 2 of 4 action(s) (next: {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"red"}).
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
At Shanghai, 2 actions left. Treat red (3→2), then drive HK. Execute treat red.
```

text: ""

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "submit_action", "toolCallId": "call_00_mgJxfwc4XrJ0z0gbO9LO2096", "ref": "alice:i69:call_00_mgJxfwc4XrJ0z0gbO9LO2096", "input": {"action": {"tag": "treatDisease", "color": "red"}}, "output": {"submitted": true, "action": {"tag": "treatDisease", "color": "red"}}}
```

### alice-i70 {#d-alice-i70}

Seat: alice. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 70. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/alice-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/alice-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `alice-i70`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #131](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e131) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- command after #130: {"action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}} — {"applied": 131}. Board before: state `130` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `131` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 5 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 1 action(s) left this turn against 5 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 5 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: 5 city(ies) sit at 3 cubes — each infect phase can
turn one into an outbreak, and outbreaks are how games are lost. Spending
actions to defuse a 3-cube city (move there + treat, see containment
routes) usually beats aimless play. Split targets with teammates.
EXCEPTION — cures outrank triage: treating NEVER wins the game, four
cures do. If the cure plan says you have a full set, or you can complete
one this turn, go cure it even while cities burn. Containment is how you
survive; cures are how you win.

=== STATE ===
phase=playerActions turnOwner=alice  (actions left: 1)
you=alice role=dispatcher at=Shanghai
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Shanghai(dispatcher) hand=7 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:16   decks: player=17 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 6 move(s): Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Algiers — black margin 5 — burnable; 5 black still in deck; spend it only if this beats the cure) — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Algiers — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 6
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap] — 7 move(s): Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — or 2 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 1 move(s) to Lagos [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 7
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 6 move(s): Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 6
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 3 move(s): Hong Kong→Manila→Sydney
  Bogota: 2 yellow
  Shanghai: 2 red — pre-empt (one draw from critical): you are HERE — treat it now
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 17 cards → 8 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~4 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
DISPATCHER REACH (your turn moves ANY pawn — jump one onto a teammate's city for 1 action at any distance, or drive it 1 city/action; both card-free):
  Algiers(black): drive bob 3 step(s) to Algiers → then that pawn treats
  Paris(blue): drive bob 3 step(s) to Paris → then that pawn treats
  Sydney(red): drive alice 3 step(s) to Sydney → then that pawn treats
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: bob collects (3/5) — give bob your black cards when you share
  red: YOU collect (4/5) — keep EVERY red card; nearest station Ho Chi Minh City (2 move(s))
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Taipei(red): meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Osaka(red): meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +3 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
⚠ CHEAPEST DEFUSES — cured-color cities still holding cubes. CURED ≠ CLEAR: they still outbreak until treated, and ONE treat clears the WHOLE city and refunds every cube (an uncured treat only knocks 3→2 and re-infects):
  Paris (blue, 3, imminent): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 6
  Lagos (yellow, 3, imminent): 8 action(s) total = 7 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 7
  Johannesburg (yellow, 3, imminent): 9 action(s) total = 8 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum→Johannesburg — nearer teammate: bob, 6 move(s) vs your 8
  Bogota (yellow, 2): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  St. Petersburg (blue, 2): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Moscow→St. Petersburg — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 6
  Khartoum (yellow, 2): 8 action(s) total = 7 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 7
  Kinshasa (yellow, 2): 9 action(s) total = 8 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: Hong Kong→Kolkata→Delhi→Tehran→Baghdad→Cairo→Khartoum→Kinshasa — nearer teammate: bob, 5 move(s) vs your 8

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"pass"}
  [1] {"tag":"endActions"}
  driveFerry — 5 options; build {"tag":"driveFerry","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Beijing", "Seoul", "Hong Kong", "Taipei", "Tokyo"
  directFlight — 7 options; build {"tag":"directFlight","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Manila", "Algiers", "Sao Paulo", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Beijing", "Cairo", "Seoul"
  [14] {"tag":"treatDisease","color":"red"}
  [15] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"alice","toPawn":"bob"}
  [16] {"tag":"dispatcherJump","pawn":"bob","toPawn":"alice"}
  [17] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"}
  [18] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"Washington"}
  [19] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"driveFerry","to":"New York"}
  [20] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Moscow"}
  [21] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Riyadh"}
  [22] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Istanbul"}
  [23] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Hong Kong"}
  [24] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Milan"}
  [25] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Taipei"}
  [26] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"directFlight","to":"Osaka"}
  [27] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Atlanta"}
  [28] {"tag":"dispatcherMove","pawn":"bob","via":"shuttleFlight","to":"Ho Chi Minh City"}

PREVIEWED THIS TURN, still outstanding: 1 of 4 action(s) (next: {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Hong Kong"}).
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
Shanghai now 2. 1 action left. Drive Shanghai→HK (toward HCMC, cure-ready). Execute drive HK.

Actually — I'm at Shanghai. My plan was drive back to HK. But let me reconsider: I could drive Shanghai→HK (1 action) → ends HK (1 from HCMC). Then next turn cure (HK→HCMC+cure).

Alternatively drive Shanghai→Beijing or Seoul? No, those are away from HCMC. I want toward HCMC. Shanghai→HK→HCMC. So drive HK. Execute.

Then draw phase, discard.

Let me execute drive HK.
```

text:

```text
Shanghai reduced to 2. Last action: back toward HCMC (to Hong Kong, one move from the cure station).
```

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "submit_action", "toolCallId": "call_00_YWRxPNHU0k4PogSL7SFX3202", "ref": "alice:i70:call_00_YWRxPNHU0k4PogSL7SFX3202", "input": {"action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}}, "output": {"submitted": true, "action": {"tag": "driveFerry", "to": "Hong Kong"}}}
```

### alice-i72 {#d-alice-i72}

Seat: alice. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 72. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/alice-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/alice-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `alice-i72`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #133](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e133) — exact submission ref
- [Event #134](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e134) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- message after #132: {"text": "YES — I'm AT Hong Kong right now, and my red draw STALLED (drew 2 yellow again, still 4/5). DO THE HANDOFF THIS ROUND — it's cheap for you: use your Ops Expert station-move (Toronto→Hong Kong, discard a dead blue like Milan or Atlanta, 1 action), then shareGive me Hong Kong(red) (1 action), then drive HK→HCMC to grind black AT that station (1 move). That GUARANTEES red: I take HK(red) → 5/5, go HK→HCMC, discoverCure RED. I'm staying at HK this turn. Keep all 3 black — HCMC station works fine for your black cure, so you lose nothing."} — {"applied": 133}. Board before: state `131` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `131` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)
- command after #133: {"action": {"tag": "discard", "card": {"kind": "city", "city": "Lagos"}}} — {"applied": 134}. Board before: state `131` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `134` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

```json
{"kind": "supersede", "hit": true, "droppedInvocation": "alice:i71"}
```

**Recorded input**

```text
POOL MESSAGE from bob (event #132): Discard: shed 2 dead YELLOW (Lagos / Los Angeles / Sao Paulo — keep at most 1), keep ALL 4 red (your cure set) and the 2 black (Algiers/Cairo, spare fodder). Don't shed red or black.

Decision I need from you: are you at HONG KONG to take my Hong Kong(red) card? Heads-up on the cost — handing it off means I LEAVE the Toronto station (~2 moves each way) and it delays MY black cure by ~a turn. You're already 4/5 drawing 2/turn, so you'll most likely pull your 5th red at HCMC naturally within 1-2 turns. My lean: DON'T wait for the handoff — go back to the HCMC station and draw; cure red there. Only if your red draws stall 2+ turns should I make the Hong Kong trip. (Both of us should stay station-side for our cures.)

Board: outbreaks 4/8, yellow supply 11 — it's a pure race now. Don't detour for cubes.

ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 6 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 0 action(s) left this turn against 5 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 5 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: 5 city(ies) sit at 3 cubes — each infect phase can
turn one into an outbreak, and outbreaks are how games are lost. Spending
actions to defuse a 3-cube city (move there + treat, see containment
routes) usually beats aimless play. Split targets with teammates.
EXCEPTION — cures outrank triage: treating NEVER wins the game, four
cures do. If the cure plan says you have a full set, or you can complete
one this turn, go cure it even while cities burn. Containment is how you
survive; cures are how you win.

=== STATE ===
phase=awaitingDiscard turnOwner=alice  (alice must discard to 7)
you=alice role=dispatcher at=Hong Kong
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Hong Kong(dispatcher) hand=9 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red), Lagos(yellow), Los Angeles(yellow)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:16   decks: player=15 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Algiers — black margin 5 — burnable; 5 black still in deck; spend it only if this beats the cure) — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Algiers — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap] — 6 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Lagos — but flying SPENDS it; walking keeps it to buildStation there) — or 2 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 1 move(s) to Lagos [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 6
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 2 move(s): Manila→Sydney
  Bogota: 2 yellow
  Shanghai: 2 red — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 1 move(s): Shanghai
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 15 cards → 7 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~3 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
DISPATCHER REACH (your turn moves ANY pawn — jump one onto a teammate's city for 1 action at any distance, or drive it 1 city/action; both card-free):
  Sydney(red): drive alice 2 step(s) to Sydney → then that pawn treats
  Algiers(black): drive bob 3 step(s) to Algiers → then that pawn treats
  Paris(blue): drive bob 3 step(s) to Paris → then that pawn treats
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: bob collects (3/5) — give bob your black cards when you share
  red: YOU collect (4/5) — keep EVERY red card when you CAN, but a shed is forced now; the ranking below advises, it does not decide; nearest station Ho Chi Minh City (1 move(s))
  discard hint: red: 2 spare — shedding 2 keeps the cure assemblable; safest first: Sao Paulo (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Algiers], Lagos (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Lagos], Los Angeles (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach St. Petersburg], Manila (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Ho Chi Minh City (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Beijing (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Seoul (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Algiers (black: 5/5 held team-wide but SPLIT (2 yours) — no hand can bank it until a rendezvous; shedding drops the team below the set) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Algiers], Cairo (black: 5/5 held team-wide but SPLIT (2 yours) — no hand can bank it until a rendezvous; shedding drops the team below the set)
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 0 move(s), bob 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Taipei(red): meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Osaka(red): meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka); then alice to station Atlanta +3 action(s) (direct flight to Los Angeles (spends Los Angeles(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Atlanta) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Manila"}}
  [1] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Algiers"}}
  [2] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Sao Paulo"}}
  [3] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Ho Chi Minh City"}}
  [4] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Beijing"}}
  [5] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Cairo"}}
  [6] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Seoul"}}
  [7] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Lagos"}}
  [8] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Los Angeles"}}
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
I drew Lagos(yellow) and Los Angeles(yellow) — not red. So I still have red 4 (Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul). Damn, no 5th red. But wait — I'm at Hong Kong, and BOB holds Hong Kong(red)!! Bob is asking if I'm at Hong Kong to take his HK(red) card.

I'm AT Hong Kong now (I drove Shanghai→HK). And Bob has Hong Kong(red). If Bob gives it to me → I'm red 5/5 → cure red!

But the handoff happens on Bob's turn (he brings the card). It's currently my turn (discard phase). Hmm. Can I take it now? No — it's my discard phase, and Bob's card. The share would happen on Bob's turn when he comes to HK. But Bob is at Toronto and would need ~2 moves to reach HK. 

Wait — actually, I need to answer Bob's question: "are you at Hong Kong to take my Hong Kong(red) card?" YES, I'm at HK now! But there's a cost: Bob leaves Toronto station (~2 moves each way), delaying his black cure by ~1 turn.

But here's the thing — I just drew 2 non-red (Lagos, LA yellow). So my red draws are stalling! I'm 4/5 and didn't get red this turn. So the HK handoff becomes MORE relevant — it could complete my red cure now.

But wait — timing: I'm at HK NOW (my turn, discard phase). If I end my turn at HK, next turn is Bob's turn. Bob could come to HK and give me HK(red) → I'd be 5/5. Then my turn: I'm at HK with 5 red, but HK is NOT a station. I'd need to go HK→HCMC (1 move) + cure (1). So I'd cure red after Bob's handoff. 

BUT — Bob coming to HK strands him (2 moves from Toronto, then he needs to get back to Atlanta/Toronto to cure black). That delays black by ~1-2 turns. 

Hmm. Let me think about whether this is worth it. My red draws stalled (drew 2 non-red). 4 red in deck (now maybe fewer). I need 1 more red. Could stall 1-2 more turns. Meanwhile Bob needs 2 more black. 

The HK handoff: Bob travels to HK (2 moves, or 1 charter? Event 132 said "2 moves each way"). Gives me HK(red). I'm 5/5. Then I go HK→HCMC + cure. Red done. But Bob is at HK, needs to return to a station for black (and still needs 2 black). This delays Bob.

Alternatively — Bob stays at Toronto grinding black, and I return to HCMC and grind red. Both draw-dependent. We might both get there in 1-2 turns.

Given the handoff delays Bob's black by ~1 turn and both are close, Bob's lean (don't do it yet) seems right. But my red just stalled (drew 0 red). Let me reconsider.

Actually — key question: what's the probability I draw a red next turn? 4 red in deck. Now deck is 15 cards (after this draw, 13? "player=15" after drawing 2 from 17... wait it says player=15 now). Hmm, deck 15. Red in deck: "red: 1 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck" = 4 red in deck. So next turn I draw 2 from ~13-15 → P(red) decent. But could stall.

The stakes: if I keep stalling and Bob keeps stalling on black, we might run out of time or hit more outbreaks (4/8, rate 3). So a guaranteed way to land red (HK handoff) has value.

But the cost (Bob stranding off-station) delays black. Net, is it worth it? 

Let me reconsider: Actually — Bob could come to HK, give me HK(red), and then... Bob is at HK (Asia). To cure black, Bob needs to be at a station. HK is not a station, but HCMC is a station (1 move from HK)! So Bob could go HK→HCMC (1 move) and be at a station for black! So the handoff doesn't fully strand Bob — he can go to HCMC station. Wait, but HCMC station is where I cure red. Both of us could use HCMC station. 

Actually — even better: If Bob comes to HK (2 moves from Toronto? or from Atlanta?), gives me HK(red), then Bob goes to HCMC (1 move, station) and grinds black there. And I go to HCMC too (1 move) and cure red. So we both end at HCMC! Efficient.

But Bob is at TORONTO now. Toronto→HK is far: Toronto→...→HK. Let me think. Toronto neighbors: Chicago, Washington, New York. To get to Asia... Toronto→New York→London→...→ long. OR Bob charters? Bob has Atlanta(blue) card — charter from Toronto? Charter spends CURRENT city card (Toronto) — Bob doesn't hold Toronto. Bob holds Atlanta(blue), Milan(blue), and red/black. So Bob could charter FROM Toronto only if he holds Toronto card — no. Hmm. 

Wait, Bob is Ops Expert — "once per turn may move from a station to any city by discarding any city card" (operationsExpertMove). Bob is at Toronto (station)! So Bob can use operationsExpertMove: move from station to ANY city discarding any city card. So Bob could teleport Toronto→Hong Kong (1 action, discard a card like Milan(blue) or Atlanta(blue))! That's cheap — 1 action to reach HK. 

So the handoff cost is much lower than "2 moves each way": Bob uses operationsExpertMove (1 action, discard a dead blue card) to go Toronto→HK, gives me HK(red) (1 action), then... Bob is at HK. To be at a station for black, Bob uses operationsExpertMove again? Once per turn. Next turn he could teleport HK→ some station. Or drive HK→HCMC (1 move, station). So Bob: opsExpertMove Toronto→HK (1 action), shareGive HK→me (1 action), drive HK→HCMC (1 move, now at station)... that's 3 actions, ends at HCMC station. Then Bob grinds black at HCMC. 

Hmm, so the handoff is actually cheap-ish for Bob (using his Ops Expert station-teleport)! And it COMPLETES my red cure. That might be worth it.

But wait — this all happens on BOB's turn. Right now it's MY turn (discard phase). I just need to: (a) discard down to 7, keeping red, (b) decide where to end/my position, and (c) answer Bob.

I'm at Hong Kong NOW. Should I STAY at HK (so Bob can hand me HK(red) next turn), or go to HCMC to draw?

If I stay at HK: next turn (Bob's), Bob teleports to HK, gives me HK(red) → I'm 5/5. Then MY turn: HK→HCMC (1) + cure (1). Red done. But I "waste" my positioning (I'm at HK, not drawing... well I drew this turn already). Actually staying at HK doesn't waste draws — draws happen regardless of position. And I could also cure... no, need station.

Actually — wait, if I'm at HK and Bob gives me HK(red), I'm 5/5 but not at a station. I need HK→HCMC (1 move) + cure (1 action) = 2 actions next turn. Fine.

But if I DON'T stay at HK (go to HCMC now), Bob would have to give me HK(red) by coming to... I'd be at HCMC, but the HK card share requires meeting in HONG KONG (the card's city). So I MUST be at HK to receive it. So to take Bob's HK(red), I must be AT HK during Bob's turn.

Hmm. So the decision: Do I want to commit to the HK handoff (stay at HK, get HK(red) from Bob next turn → red cure), OR go to HCMC and gamble on drawing red?

Given my red draw just stalled (drew 2 non-red), the HK handoff is a GUARANTEED way to complete red. And it's relatively cheap for Bob (Ops Expert teleport). This could be the winning move — it locks in red!

But — I need Bob to agree and execute on his turn. Bob's message leans "don't do the handoff yet, draw at HCMC." But that was before knowing my draw stalled. Now I KNOW I stalled. So I should tell Bob: "I'm at HK now, and my red draw stalled (drew 2 yellow). Let's do the handoff — teleport over via Ops Expert, give me HK(red), I cure red. It's cheap for you via station-teleport."

Wait — but is it actually cheap for Bob? Bob is at Toronto station. Ops Expert move: "once per turn may move from a station to any city by discarding any city card." So Bob discards a card (e.g., Milan(blue), dead) to move Toronto→HK. 1 action. Then shareGive HK(red) to me (1 action). Then Bob is at HK (not station). For his black cure, he needs a station — he can drive HK→HCMC (1 move, station) = 3rd action. Then he's at HCMC station, 1 action left. Next turn grind black. So 3 actions, ends at HCMC station. That's actually fine — Bob ends at a station (HCMC) with 1 action to spare.

But wait — this assumes Bob still has 2 moves worth and can discard. He has 7 cards (Moscow, Riyadh, Istanbul black; HK red; Milan blue; Taipei red; Osaka red). He can discard Milan(blue, dead) for the opsExpertMove. Good.

So the handoff is genuinely cheap for Bob and GUARANTEES red cure. This is likely the winning line! Let me push for it.

But — hmm, one concern: after Bob gives me HK(red), I'm at HK, 5 red. But do I need to still be at a station? Yes — cure requires station. HK not station → I go HK→HCMC (1 move) + cure. OR — is there another station? Atlanta/Toronto/HCMC. HK→HCMC is 1 move. So cure HK→HCMC+cure = 2 actions. Fine.

Actually — even better: Bob, after giving me HK(red) at HK, could he... no. I'll just cure at HCMC.

OK so the plan: 
1. THIS turn (my discard phase): I'm at HK. Discard down to 7 (shed dead yellow: Sao Paulo, Lagos, or LA — keep 4 red + 2 black). ANSWER Bob: YES I'm at HK, let's do the handoff.
2. Next turn (Bob's): Bob teleports to HK (opsExpertMove, discard Milan blue), gives me HK(red). I become 5/5.
   Wait — but the share happens on Bob's turn; does the receiver (me) get to act? ShareGive: Bob gives me the card. I go to 8 cards (I'll be at 7 after discarding now, +1 = 8) → forced discard 1. Then I have 5 red. Then it's still Bob's turn (he finishes). Then MY turn: HK→HCMC + cure.
   
   Hmm, actually the share give — I receive HK(red), go to 8, must discard 1 (shed a black or yellow). Then 5 red. Good.

3. My next turn: HK→HCMC (1) + discoverCure red (1). RED CURED!

That's a solid plan that lands red within ~1 round. 

But — alternative: I could just stay at HK and hope Bob does it; if Bob doesn't, I'm at HK (1 from HCMC) and can go cure when I draw red. So staying at HK is safe regardless.

But actually — should I return to HCMC to be at the station ready? If I go HCMC now, I CAN'T receive HK handoff (must be at HK). So committing to the handoff means staying at HK.

Let me decide: Given my red stalled, the handoff is the safer path to guarantee red. Let me STAY at HK and coordinate the handoff with Bob. I'll tell Bob clearly: "I'm at HK and my draw stalled (2 yellow). YES do the handoff — use your Ops Expert station-teleport (Toronto→HK, discard Milan/Atlanta blue), give me HK(red), then drive HK→HCMC to grind black at the station. I'll cure red at HCMC."

Wait — but I need to END my turn at HK for this to work. But I've already used all 4 actions (drive HK was action 4). So I'm at HK. Then draw phase (drew Lagos, LA). Then discard down to 7. So I END at HK. Good — I'm at HK for Bob's turn.

So I don't need to do anything positional — I'm already at HK. Just discard and message Bob to do the handoff.

But — reconsider: is the handoff clearly better than both grinding? Let me weigh risk:
- Handoff: Bob spends 1 card (Milan blue, dead) + ~3 actions to teleport to HK, give card, move to HCMC. Delays his black grind by... he ends at HCMC station (Asia) instead of Atlanta/Toronto. His black grind continues at HCMC station. So no real delay! He just relocated his grind to HCMC. And I get GUARANTEED red cure.
- Both grind: uncertain timing, could stall.

The handoff is clearly good (guarantees red, Bob relocates to HCMC station for black grinding). Let me push it.

BUT — one risk: hand limit. I'll be at 7 after discarding. Bob gives me HK(red) → 8 → discard 1. Fine.

Also — after Bob gives me HK(red), we both are at HCMC station (Bob drives HK→HCMC, I go HK→HCMC). Then I cure red at HCMC. Bob grinds black at HCMC. 

Hmm, wait — actually, could we do even better: Bob, at HK after giving me the card, drives to HCMC. I'm at HK with 5 red. I go HK→HCMC + cure. So we both end at HCMC. Then red cured. Bob needs 2 more black (grinds at HCMC station). 

Great. Let me message Bob this plan and discard.

Actually — hold on. Let me reconsider whether Bob coming to HK is needed, or if Bob could just... no, to give me a card we must be in the SAME city = Hong Kong (the card's city). So Bob must be at HK. And I must be at HK. I'm at HK. Bob must come. OK.

Let me also reconsider — is it simpler for me to just go to HCMC and keep drawing? Probability of drawing red next turn: 4 red in ~13-card deck, draw 2 → ~50%. So ~50% I cure red next turn anyway by drawing. The handoff guarantees it but costs Bob's relocation. 

Hmm, but if I'm at HK (for handoff) and DON'T do the handoff, and I draw red next turn... I'd be at HK with 5 red, need HK→HCMC+cure. Same as if I got HK from Bob. So staying at HK and just drawing is ALSO fine (I cure red next turn if I draw red, at HK→HCMC+cure). 

Wait — that's a good point! I'm at HK now. Next turn (my turn), I draw 2. If I get a red → 5/5 → HK→HCMC+cure. If not → still 4/5, and I could then take Bob's HK(red) handoff or keep drawing.

So actually — I don't necessarily need Bob's handoff. I'm at HK (1 from HCMC station), and I draw red next turn with ~50% chance → cure. If I don't, THEN do the handoff.

But wait — the handoff needs Bob AT HK on his turn. If I end this turn at HK, Bob's turn is next. If Bob does the handoff now, I get red guaranteed THIS round. If Bob doesn't, I draw next turn (50%) and if I fail, I'd need Bob to come later.

Given the game is tight (outbreaks 4/8, rate 3, ~7 turns left, yellow supply 11), getting red GUARANTEED now is valuable. Let me have Bob do the handoff THIS round. It's cheap for him.

Actually — let me reconsider Bob's cost more carefully. Bob is Ops Expert at Toronto. To do the handoff:
- opsExpertMove: Toronto→Hong Kong, discard a city card (Milan blue — dead). 1 action. (Bob now at HK.)
- shareGive Hong Kong(red) to Alice. 1 action. (I receive it, discard 1.)
- Then Bob wants to be at a station for black. He's at HK (not station). Drive HK→HCMC (1 move, station). 3 actions total. 1 action left.
So Bob uses 3 actions, discards Milan(dead), ends at HCMC station. That's cheap and puts him at a station. Win-win!

So the handoff is great. Let me tell Bob to do it. And I stay at HK.

But — CRITICAL: the share direction. shareGive: Bob gives card to a player in his city. So on Bob's turn, Bob (at HK) shares HK(red) to me (at HK). Yes. Good.

So my message: "YES I'm at HK, and my red draw stalled (drew 2 yellow). Let's do the handoff THIS round — it's cheap for you: Ops Expert teleport Toronto→HK (discard Milan/Atlanta blue, 1 action), give me HK(red) (1 action), then drive HK→HCMC to grind black at the station. I'll cure red at HCMC. This GUARANTEES red."

Now — the discard (my current phase). I have 9 cards: Manila(R), Algiers(Bk), Sao Paulo(Y), HCMC(R), Beijing(R), Cairo(Bk), Seoul(R), Lagos(Y), Los Angeles(Y). Discard 2 (9→7). Keep 4 red (Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul) + 2 black (Algiers, Cairo) = 6, +1 more. Discard 2 yellows (Sao Paulo, Lagos, or LA — pick 2). Keep 1 yellow? Or discard all... I need 7 total. 4 red + 2 black + 1 = 7. So keep 1 yellow (say Los Angeles as flight fuel) OR discard... Actually I have 3 yellows (Sao Paulo, Lagos, LA). Discard 2, keep 1. Keep LA (or Sao Paulo). 

Wait — Bob's advice: "shed 2 dead YELLOW (Lagos / Los Angeles / Sao Paulo — keep at most 1), keep ALL 4 red and 2 black." Yes. Discard 2 yellows, keep 1.

Let me discard Lagos and Los Angeles (keep Sao Paulo). Or discard Sao Paulo and Lagos (keep LA). Doesn't matter. I'll discard Sao Paulo and Lagos, keep Los Angeles. Actually — hmm, which yellow is most useful as flight fuel? LA connects SF, Chicago, Sydney, Mexico City. Sao Paulo connects Madrid, Buenos Aires, Bogota, Lagos. For potential future flights (to reach stations/black?), marginal. Keep Sao Paulo (central SA hub). Discard Lagos, LA.

Actually — I might not even need a yellow (since I'll cure red at HCMC). But I need 7 cards and have 9; discard 2 → 7. Keep 4 red + 2 black + 1 yellow. Fine. Discard Lagos + Los Angeles. Keep Sao Paulo.

Wait — but actually, do I want to keep both black? Black is Bob's (he has 3, needs 2 more). My 2 black are "insurance." The discard hint says keep black (5/5 team but split). I'll keep them (as Bob might need them if his black draws stall too). Keep Algiers + Cairo.

So discard Lagos + Los Angeles. Keep Sao Paulo (yellow, fuel).

Let me discard. First discard Lagos.

Wait — actually, let me reconsider keeping the black. If Bob's black also stalls, having my 2 black gives the team 5 black (Bob 3 + me 2) but split. To cure, need 5 in one hand. Hmm. Keeping them as "insurance" for a possible funnel. But a funnel is costly. Marginal. But no harm keeping (they're not blocking anything). Keep.

OK: discard Lagos and Los Angeles. Then end at HK. Message Bob about handoff.

Actually — hold on. Let me reconsider: If I keep only 4 red + 2 black + 1 yellow = 7. Then Bob gives me HK(red) → 8 → I discard 1. I'd discard the yellow or a black. Fine.

Let me also reconsider: should I keep BOTH black or discard one to keep another yellow? No — keep black (more valuable than yellow, per Bob). Discard 2 yellows.

Let me submit: discard Lagos, discard Los Angeles.

And send the message to Bob about the handoff (YES, do it, use Ops Expert teleport).

Actually — the message is important and time-sensitive (Bob acts next). Let me send it. But I'm in discard phase — can I send_message? The send_message tool is allowed anytime I think. Yes, I can send_message during my turn. Let me send the handoff coordination message + do discards.

Wait — order: I should do the discards to resolve my turn, and send the message so Bob sees it. Both are fine. Let me send message + first discard.

Actually, hmm — let me reconsider ONE more time whether the handoff is right vs just drawing. 

Concern: Bob relocating to HCMC (Asia) means his black grind is now in Asia. But black is fine anywhere (draws random, station = HCMC works). So no downside. And Bob's Ops Expert teleport is cheap. 

The main risk of the handoff: it uses Bob's turn on relocating rather than... well, he'd draw black anyway regardless of location. So it's basically free. And it guarantees red. Clear win. Do it.

BUT — actually, wait: if Bob gives me HK(red), and I cure red at HCMC next turn — do I even need to be at HK? The share requires me at HK. I'm at HK now. If I stay, yes. Good.

Let me also double-check: after I discard to 7 and end at HK, next turn is Bob's. Bob teleports to HK, gives me HK(red). I'm at HK with 5 red + others = 8 cards → discard 1. Then Bob's turn continues, he drives HK→HCMC. Then my turn: HK→HCMC + cure. 

Wait — when Bob shareGives me the card, the forced discard — is it MY discard (I choose) that gets triggered during Bob's turn? Yes, the receiver discards. So I'll be prompted to discard during Bob's turn. I'll shed a dead card (yellow or a black). Keep 5 red. Good.

OK let me execute: send message, discard Lagos, discard Los Angeles.

Let me be careful about the message — it should clearly instruct Bob.

Message: "YES — I'm AT Hong Kong and my red draw stalled (drew 2 yellow: Lagos, LA). DO THE HANDOFF THIS ROUND — it's cheap for you: use Ops Expert station-move (Toronto→Hong Kong, discard a dead blue like Milan/Atlanta, 1 action), shareGive me Hong Kong(red) (1 action), then drive HK→HCMC to grind black at that station (1 move). That GUARANTEES red cure — I take HK(red), go HK→HCMC, discoverCure RED next turn. I'm staying at HK. Keep your 3 black + keep drawing black; HCMC station works for your black cure."

Good. Let me send + discard.

Hmm wait — actually, let me reconsider: does Bob need to come to HK, or could I go to Toronto? No — share requires being in the card's city (Hong Kong). So Bob must come to HK. OK.

Also — is there any issue with Bob discarding a card for Ops Expert move — he'd discard Milan(blue) (dead). He has Milan(blue) and Atlanta(blue) — both dead. Good.

Let me finalize. Send message + discard Lagos.

Actually — let me reconsider whether the handoff is overkill given I could just draw red next turn (~50%). The downside of the handoff: it depends on Bob executing correctly, and it commits me to staying at HK (not going to HCMC to be "safely at station"). But staying at HK is fine (1 from HCMC). And the 50% gamble vs guaranteed... 

Given we're in a tight race (4/8 outbreaks, rate 3, deck 15 cards = ~7 turns, yellow supply 11), guaranteeing red is worth it. And Bob's cost is genuinely low. Let me do it.

But — let me hedge: even if Bob doesn't do the handoff, me staying at HK is fine (I draw red ~50% next turn and cure at HK→HCMC). So no downside to staying at HK. Good.

Actually — WAIT. There's a subtle issue. If I stay at HK and Bob does the handoff, great. But if Bob does NOT do the handoff (e.g., he decides to keep grinding at Toronto), then I'm at HK and next turn I draw (50% red). If I get red, cure (HK→HCMC+cure). If not, I'm stuck at HK 4/5; I'd go to HCMC and keep drawing. Fine either way.

So staying at HK is safe and enables the handoff. Good. Commit.

Let me send message + discards.

Actually, let me reconsider — is it better to NOT rely on Bob and instead just go to HCMC now to be safely at the station? If I go HCMC now (but I've used all 4 actions... I'm at HK, can't move more this turn). So I END at HK regardless (no actions left). So I don't have a choice — I end at HK this turn! Good, that's already the handoff-enabling position. 

So: I end at HK. Discard down to 7. Message Bob to do the handoff. Next turn Bob does it (or not). Then I cure.

Great. Let me execute: discard Lagos, discard Los Angeles (keep Sao Paulo), and send message.

Let me do send_message + discard Lagos in one batch, then discard LA.

Actually — I should double check the discard count: hand 9, discard to 7 = discard 2. Yes. Discard Lagos, then Los Angeles. Keep: Manila(R), Algiers(Bk), Sao Paulo(Y), HCMC(R), Beijing(R), Cairo(Bk), Seoul(R) = 7. Good — 4 red, 2 black, 1 yellow (Sao Paulo).

Let me send message + discard Lagos.
```

text:

```text
I'm AT Hong Kong and my red draw stalled (drew 2 yellow, still 4/5) — this is exactly when the handoff pays off. And it's cheap for Bob: as Ops Expert on a station he can teleport Toronto→HK, hand off, then relocate to the HCMC station. This GUARANTEES red.
```

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "send_message", "toolCallId": "call_00_UY89W2QDihzBHfHyYznK8756", "ref": "alice:i72:call_00_UY89W2QDihzBHfHyYznK8756", "input": {"text": "YES — I'm AT Hong Kong right now, and my red draw STALLED (drew 2 yellow again, still 4/5). DO THE HANDOFF THIS ROUND — it's cheap for you: use your Ops Expert station-move (Toronto→Hong Kong, discard a dead blue like Milan or Atlanta, 1 action), then shareGive me Hong Kong(red) (1 action), then drive HK→HCMC to grind black AT that station (1 move). That GUARANTEES red: I take HK(red) → 5/5, go HK→HCMC, discoverCure RED. I'm staying at HK this turn. Keep all 3 black — HCMC station works fine for your black cure, so you lose nothing."}, "output": {"sent": true, "note": "You have sent 1 of 5 messages available this turn."}}
{"tool": "submit_action", "toolCallId": "call_01_0R848ohvumva6BNfQ18g5059", "ref": "alice:i72:call_01_0R848ohvumva6BNfQ18g5059", "input": {"action": {"tag": "discard", "card": {"kind": "city", "city": "Lagos"}}}, "output": {"submitted": true, "action": {"tag": "discard", "card": {"kind": "city", "city": "Lagos"}}}}
```

### alice-i73 {#d-alice-i73}

Seat: alice. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 73. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/alice-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/alice-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `alice-i73`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #135](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e135) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- command after #134: {"action": {"tag": "discard", "card": {"kind": "city", "city": "Los Angeles"}}} — {"applied": 135}. Board before: state `134` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `135` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 6 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 0 action(s) left this turn against 5 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 5 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: 5 city(ies) sit at 3 cubes — each infect phase can
turn one into an outbreak, and outbreaks are how games are lost. Spending
actions to defuse a 3-cube city (move there + treat, see containment
routes) usually beats aimless play. Split targets with teammates.
EXCEPTION — cures outrank triage: treating NEVER wins the game, four
cures do. If the cure plan says you have a full set, or you can complete
one this turn, go cure it even while cities burn. Containment is how you
survive; cures are how you win.

=== STATE ===
phase=awaitingDiscard turnOwner=alice  (alice must discard to 7)
you=alice role=dispatcher at=Hong Kong
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Hong Kong(dispatcher) hand=8 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red), Los Angeles(yellow)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:16   decks: player=15 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 9 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Algiers — black margin 5 — burnable; 5 black still in deck; spend it only if this beats the cure) — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Algiers — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap] — 6 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — or 2 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 1 move(s) to Lagos [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 6
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 2 move(s): Manila→Sydney
  Bogota: 2 yellow
  Shanghai: 2 red — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 1 move(s): Shanghai
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 15 cards → 7 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~3 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
DISPATCHER REACH (your turn moves ANY pawn — jump one onto a teammate's city for 1 action at any distance, or drive it 1 city/action; both card-free):
  Sydney(red): drive alice 2 step(s) to Sydney → then that pawn treats
  Algiers(black): drive bob 3 step(s) to Algiers → then that pawn treats
  Paris(blue): drive bob 3 step(s) to Paris → then that pawn treats
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: bob collects (3/5) — give bob your black cards when you share
  red: YOU collect (4/5) — keep EVERY red card when you CAN, but a shed is forced now; the ranking below advises, it does not decide; nearest station Ho Chi Minh City (1 move(s))
  discard hint: red: 2 spare — shedding 2 keeps the cure assemblable; safest first: Sao Paulo (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Algiers], Los Angeles (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach St. Petersburg], Manila (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Ho Chi Minh City (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Beijing (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Seoul (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Algiers (black: 5/5 held team-wide but SPLIT (2 yours) — no hand can bank it until a rendezvous; shedding drops the team below the set) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Algiers], Cairo (black: 5/5 held team-wide but SPLIT (2 yours) — no hand can bank it until a rendezvous; shedding drops the team below the set)
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 0 move(s), bob 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 8/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Taipei(red): meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 8/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Osaka(red): meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka); then alice to station Atlanta +3 action(s) (direct flight to Los Angeles (spends Los Angeles(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Atlanta) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 8/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Manila"}}
  [1] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Algiers"}}
  [2] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Sao Paulo"}}
  [3] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Ho Chi Minh City"}}
  [4] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Beijing"}}
  [5] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Cairo"}}
  [6] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Seoul"}}
  [7] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Los Angeles"}}
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
Now 8 cards, discard 1 more. Keep 4 red + 2 black + 1 yellow. Discard Los Angeles (yellow) or Sao Paulo (yellow). I'll discard Los Angeles (keep Sao Paulo). 

Wait — but if Bob is going to hand me HK(red) next turn, I'll get to 8 again and discard 1 then. For now, discard 1 (8→7). Discard Los Angeles (yellow, keep Sao Paulo).

Actually — should I keep both black (Algiers, Cairo)? Discard hint says keep them (5/5 black split). If I discard a black, black team drops to 4. Bob has 3 black, needs 2 more. If I keep my 2 black, black team = 5. Hmm. Keep them.

So discard Los Angeles. Keep: Manila(R), Algiers(Bk), Sao Paulo(Y), HCMC(R), Beijing(R), Cairo(Bk), Seoul(R) = 7. Good.

Discard Los Angeles.

Then I end at HK. Bob's turn next — hopefully does handoff.

Let me discard Los Angeles.
```

text: ""

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "submit_action", "toolCallId": "call_00_nit8dztOUhPnYuAYa0vs9706", "ref": "alice:i73:call_00_nit8dztOUhPnYuAYa0vs9706", "input": {"action": {"tag": "discard", "card": {"kind": "city", "city": "Los Angeles"}}}, "output": {"submitted": true, "action": {"tag": "discard", "card": {"kind": "city", "city": "Los Angeles"}}}}
```

### bob-i71 {#d-bob-i71}

Seat: bob. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 71. Active turn: False.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/bob-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/bob-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `bob-i71`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #127](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e127) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- message after #126: {"text": "Your win: STAY on the HCMC station, keep all 4 red, draw for your 5th → cure RED the instant it lands. That's the game.\n\nNew threat to flag (not in the old pin): YELLOW SUPPLY is down to 11 with a 10-cube yen cluster still out (Lagos/Johannesburg/Khartoum/Kinshasa). Yellow's cured, but if it keeps getting infected and hits 0 we LOSE by depletion even with cures pending. Those cities are all Africa/SA — unreachable for both of us right now — so the ONLY answer is to WIN FAST. Do NOT detour for them; just race the cures. Outbreaks are 4/8 at rate 3 too, so the next infect (your turn-end) is the real threat — but you can't efficiently clear the red 3-bombs (uncured = 1/action), so racing red is right.\n\nI'm on the Toronto station, black 3/5, still drawing (I keep pulling red — Taipei/Osaka this turn — but black will come). I cure BLACK the instant my 5th lands. Both one good draw from winning."} — {"applied": 127}. Board before: state `126` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `126` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
ADVISORY — alice is on the move; you cannot act.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 4 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Shanghai (3 red), Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

=== STATE ===
phase=playerActions turnOwner=alice  (actions left: 4)
you=bob role=operationsExpert at=Toronto
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Ho Chi Minh City(dispatcher) hand=7 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:15   decks: player=17 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 3 move(s): New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Algiers
  Shanghai: 3 red⚠ — 3 move(s): (shuttle)Ho Chi Minh City→Hong Kong→Shanghai — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Shanghai — nearer teammate: alice, 2 move(s) vs your 3
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap]
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 3 move(s): New York→London→Paris — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 3 move(s): Chicago→Los Angeles→Sydney — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Sydney — nearer teammate: alice, 2 move(s) vs your 3
  Bogota: 2 yellow — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 3 move(s): Chicago→Mexico City→Bogota — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Bogota [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 17 cards → 8 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~4 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: YOU collect (3/5) — keep EVERY black card; nearest station Toronto (0 move(s))
  red: alice collects (4/5) — give alice your red cards when you share
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  hand Hong Kong(red) to alice: meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), alice 1 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  hand Taipei(red) to alice: meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei), alice 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  hand Osaka(red) to alice: meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka), alice 3 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +3 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
⚠ CHEAPEST DEFUSES — cured-color cities still holding cubes. CURED ≠ CLEAR: they still outbreak until treated, and ONE treat clears the WHOLE city and refunds every cube (an uncured treat only knocks 3→2 and re-infects):
  Paris (blue, 3, imminent): 4 action(s) total = 3 move(s) + 1 treat: New York→London→Paris
  Lagos (yellow, 3, imminent): 5 action(s) total = 4 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos
  Johannesburg (yellow, 3, imminent): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Kinshasa→Johannesburg
  Bogota (yellow, 2): 4 action(s) total = 3 move(s) + 1 treat: Chicago→Mexico City→Bogota
  St. Petersburg (blue, 2): 5 action(s) total = 4 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→London→Essen→St. Petersburg
  Kinshasa (yellow, 2): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Kinshasa
  Khartoum (yellow, 2): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Khartoum

If you have useful advice for the active player, CALL the send_message
tool. Anything you write as plain text on this frame is ALSO delivered to the pool
So if you have nothing useful to add, stop WITHOUT writing anything —
do not narrate your silence. A line like "nothing to add, standing by"
is delivered to the pool, spends one of your messages, and interrupts
the active player mid-turn to tell them nothing.
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
Now it's alice's turn. She's at HCMC, red 4/5. She needs 1 more red. She has Manila(red), HCMC(red), Beijing(red), Seoul(red) = 4 red. Plus Cairo(black), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow).

I have 3 red too (Hong Kong, Taipei, Osaka). But I can't easily give them (far, at Toronto).

Alice's turn: she should cure red. If she draws 1 more red → 5/5 → cure at HCMC. Or — wait, could she cure red WITHOUT drawing? She has 4 red. Needs 5. Can't.

Hmm — but she's 4/5. She'll draw 2 this turn. If 1 is red → cure red at HCMC. Likely-ish.

Meanwhile, I need black (3/5, need 2 more). And the board: outbreaks 4/8, rate 3, yellow supply 11 (strained), 6 three-cube bombs. oneQuietNight just skipped this turn's infect (mine). So next infect is alice's turn-end. At rate 3 with bombs → could add outbreaks. 

Also — there's a BIG danger I should flag: yellow supply 11, and the huge yellow cluster (Lagos-Khartoum-Johannesburg-Kinshasa 10 cubes). Yellow is CURED. If those yellow cities get infected more (supply drops toward 0) → LOSS BY DEPLETION. And if one outbreaks, splash → more yellow. Yellow supply 11 is a genuine ticking clock.

Should alice do something about yellow? She's at HCMC (Asia). Yellow cities are Africa/SA (far). Can't reach.

Hmm. Also — alice should just cure red (her win path). Let me advise her: cure red (you're 4/5, at station, draw for 5th). And flag the yellow supply concern but note we can't reach it — just win first.

Actually — is there anything alice can do this turn that's useful besides drawing red? She's at HCMC, 4 actions. She could:
1. Cure red if she draws 5th (but that's after draw, next turn). This turn she draws at end.
2. Use actions for containment? Nearby red (Shanghai 3 red, 3 moves; Manila 2 red, 1 move). Or nothing.

Hmm. Actually — alice just needs to draw red. Her actions this turn are "free." She could clear a red fire (Shanghai/Manila) to reduce outbreak risk. But red isn't cured, so treating is 1/action (inefficient). 

Actually — wait. Let me reconsider the biggest threat: outbreaks 4/8 + rate 3 + bombs. If alice's turn-end infect (rate 3) hits bombs → could push to 6-7/8. And we might not have cured yet. So alice should consider defensive moves.

But she needs to cure red. And I need to cure black. Both are draw-dependent.

Hmm — let me think about whether alice should spend her turn reducing a 3-cube bomb (Shanghai red 3, 2-3 moves from her) to prevent outbreaks. Shanghai (3 red, uncured) — treating removes 1/action, so 2 treats → 3→1. Not cleared efficiently. And it takes ~3 actions (2 moves + treats). Meanwhile she could be at HCMC drawing.

I think alice should mostly just stay at HCMC, draw for red 5th, and cure. Her free actions could go to a light containment (clear Manila 2 red, 1 move + 2 treats = 3 actions, back to HCMC). But that risks leaving the station.

Actually — you know what, the cleanest advice: alice should prioritize curing red (draw). For her free actions, if she wants, knock down a nearby red fire, but do NOT leave the HCMC station area (she needs to cure red there the instant 5th lands).

Also — I should flag: I'm at Toronto station, black 3/5, drawing. I drew 2 red this turn (Taipei, Osaka) — red keeps coming to me while black stalls. Annoying. But I keep drawing.

Wait — this is notable: I now hold 3 red (Hong Kong, Taipei, Osaka) and alice holds 4 red. TEAM has 7 red! And I hold 5 black... no, 3 black in my hand, alice 2 black (Cairo, Algiers). Team black = 5 (3 mine + 2 alice). 

Hmm — the team has 5 black total (split 3 me / 2 alice). If we could pool 5 black in one hand → cure black. But split. And 7 red total (split 4 alice / 3 me). Alice at 4 red needs 1 — she'll draw it or... 

Wait — CRUCIAL realization: I hold 3 RED. Alice needs 1 more red (she's 4/5). If I could give alice ONE red card, she'd cure red! But meeting in a red city (Hong Kong/Taipei/Osaka) — I'm at Toronto, she's at HCMC. Hong Kong is close to her (HCMC→Hong Kong ~1-2 moves?). The rendezvous: "hand Hong Kong to alice: meet in Hong Kong — you 2 moves, alice 1 move." So alice drives HCMC→Hong Kong (1 move), I go Toronto→Hong Kong (2 moves via direct flight Hong Kong? I have Hong Kong card — direct flight to Hong Kong spends it, no. Or charter). Hmm.

But — alice will likely just DRAW her 5th red naturally (she's 4/5). So the handoff is backup.

OK let me focus on advising alice for her turn. Key points:
1. Cure RED — you're 4/5 at the HCMC station. Draw for your 5th and cure immediately. That's your win.
2. Don't detour far. Keep all 4 red.
3. Big flag: YELLOW SUPPLY is at 11 and falling (huge yellow cluster: Lagos-Khartoum-Johannesburg-Kinshasa = 10 cubes). If it depletes to 0 we LOSE by depletion even with cures pending. But the yellow cities are all in Africa/SA — unreachable for both of us right now. So we must WIN FAST (cure black+red) before yellow runs out. Prioritize cures over everything.
4. I'm at Toronto station, black 3/5, drawing — I drew more red this turn (Taipei/Osaka) but black is coming. Keep drawing.

Hmm — actually, let me reconsider the yellow supply threat more carefully. Yellow supply 11, 13 on board. Every yellow infection = supply -1. At rate 3, and many yellow cities around (Bogota 2, Kinshasa 2, Khartoum 2, Lagos 3, Johannesburg 3, Sao Paulo 1, etc.), a fair number of infection draws could be yellow. If ~1 yellow/turn, supply -1/turn → 11 turns to deplete... we win in ~3-4 turns. So survivable IF we win. But if a big yellow reshuffle or outbreak, could accelerate.

Actually — the bigger immediate risk is OUTBREAKS hitting 8. At 4/8, rate 3, if a phase hits 3-4 bombs → 8/8 → LOSS. So surviving the infect phases is key.

Given oneQuietNight skipped this (my) turn's infect, the next infect is alice's turn-end (rate 3). If it hits bombs → could be bad. Alice can't play oneQuietNight (she doesn't have it — she has resilientPopulation which she used). So the next infect WILL happen at alice's turn-end. Risk.

Can alice do anything to reduce that risk? She could clear a bomb (Shanghai red 3, or Manila). But uncured red treatment is inefficient. Hmm.

Actually — let me reconsider: should alice use her turn to defuse a bomb (reducing outbreak risk for the imminent alice-turn-end infect)? The bombs: Algiers (3 black, far), Shanghai (3 red, near alice ~2-3 moves), Lagos/Joburg (yellow, far), Paris (3 blue, far), Sydney (3 red, ~2 from alice), Bogota (2 yellow, far). 

Shanghai (3 red), from alice at HCMC: "3 move(s): shuttle HCMC→Hong Kong→Shanghai." Uncured red, treat 1/action. So to reduce Shanghai 3→2 needs 1 treat (3 moves + 1 treat = 4 actions = whole turn). Not efficient, and it leaves Shanghai at 2 (still could outbreak). Not worth.

Sydney (3 red), ~2 moves from alice. treat 1/action. Same issue.

So alice can't efficiently defuse red bombs (uncured). 

Alternative: alice could treat Manila (2 red, 1 move) — 2 treats → 0, 3 actions. But that's clearing a 2-cube, not a 3-bomb. Marginal for outbreak prevention (Manila at 2 wouldn't outbreak from one hit; 2→3). 

Honestly, alice's best move: stay at HCMC, draw for red 5th, cure. Accept the infect risk. Her free actions could do light containment but it's marginal.

Actually — wait, maybe alice could do something to help the OUTBREAK situation that's high-value. Let me reconsider: the imminent alice-turn-end infect (rate 3) draws 3 cards. If those are bombs → outbreaks. Can alice reduce the number of 3-cube bombs before that phase? If she clears one 3-bomb (even partially), reduces risk. But uncured red (Shanghai/Sydney) only 1/action. Blue (Paris) is cured → 1 treat wipes! Paris (3 blue) — but Paris is far (Europe). Alice at HCMC — Paris far. Can't.

So no efficient bomb-clearing for alice this turn. She should just cure red / draw.

Hmm — actually, let me reconsider: is there value in alice NOT staying at HCMC and instead being somewhere else? No — HCMC is her cure station. Stay.

OK, so my advice to alice:
1. Stay at the HCMC station, keep all 4 red, draw for your 5th red → cure RED immediately. Win path.
2. Flag yellow supply (11, cluster 10 cubes) — it's a depletion clock, but unreachable; we must outrun it by curing fast. Don't detour for it.
3. Board: outbreaks 4/8, rate 3 — the next infect (your turn-end) could hurt; you can't efficiently stop red bombs (uncured), so just race the cure.
4. I'm at Toronto station, black 3/5, drawing — I keep drawing black; I'll cure the instant my 5th lands. (I drew red cards this turn, frustrating, but still grinding.)

That's useful. Let me send it.

Actually — one more strategic thought: I have 3 red and alice has 4 red. Team 7 red. Alice needs 5. If I give alice 1 red (Hong Kong), she'd have 5 → cure. It's a "completes the set" transfer per the rendezvous. But it costs: me going to Hong Kong (2 moves, leaving Toronto station), alice HCMC→Hong Kong (1). And then I'm at Hong Kong (no station), need to return. Delays my black cure. And alice would cure red (good) but I'd delay black.

Is it worth it? If alice's red draw stalls, the handoff completes red. But she's 4/5, drawing 2 this turn — decent chance she gets 1 red. So probably not needed. And it hurts my black positioning. I'll mention it as backup only.

Actually — hmm, let me reconsider: alice needs 1 more red. She draws 2/turn. P(a red among 2 draws): red in deck ~4 of 17 ≈ 24% each → P(≥1 red in 2) ≈ 42%. So ~42% she cures red next turn. Otherwise a couple more turns. So red is coming soon. Handoff not needed.

OK let me write the advice. Concise.

Also — should I re-pin? The plan is current (black+red). But there's a new threat: yellow supply depletion. I could add that to the pin. But messages suffice. I'll just message.

Let me send.

Actually — the frame is alice's turn, and I should advise. Let me keep it focused and useful.
```

text:

```text
It's Alice's turn — she's red 4/5 at the HCMC station. But a new danger has emerged that the plan doesn't cover: yellow supply is down to 11 with a 10-cube yellow cluster still on the board — a depletion clock. Advising her.
```

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "send_message", "toolCallId": "call_00_3y14bzfpnWbnIkDY1Jl88904", "ref": "bob:i71:call_00_3y14bzfpnWbnIkDY1Jl88904", "input": {"text": "Your win: STAY on the HCMC station, keep all 4 red, draw for your 5th → cure RED the instant it lands. That's the game.\n\nNew threat to flag (not in the old pin): YELLOW SUPPLY is down to 11 with a 10-cube yen cluster still out (Lagos/Johannesburg/Khartoum/Kinshasa). Yellow's cured, but if it keeps getting infected and hits 0 we LOSE by depletion even with cures pending. Those cities are all Africa/SA — unreachable for both of us right now — so the ONLY answer is to WIN FAST. Do NOT detour for them; just race the cures. Outbreaks are 4/8 at rate 3 too, so the next infect (your turn-end) is the real threat — but you can't efficiently clear the red 3-bombs (uncured = 1/action), so racing red is right.\n\nI'm on the Toronto station, black 3/5, still drawing (I keep pulling red — Taipei/Osaka this turn — but black will come). I cure BLACK the instant my 5th lands. Both one good draw from winning."}, "output": {"sent": true, "note": "You have sent 1 of 5 messages available this turn."}}
```

Step 2 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
I've advised alice. It's her turn. I can't act. Stop here.

My next turn: at Toronto station, black 3/5, draw 2. If black, cure. Keep going.

Stop. Don't narrate further.
```

text:

```text
Advice sent. Waiting on Alice's turn.

My next turn: I'm on the Toronto station at 3/5 black, drawing — I cure BLACK the moment my 5th lands (that's the other half of the win alongside Alice's red). Staying station-side and hoarding black; no detours while the yellow-supply and outbreak clocks run.
```

toolCalls: []

### bob-i72 {#d-bob-i72}

Seat: bob. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 72. Active turn: False.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/bob-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/bob-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `bob-i72`)

**Linked accepted events**

- [Event #132](/games/game-03/turns/16.md#e132) — exact submission ref

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

- message after #131: {"text": "Discard: shed 2 dead YELLOW (Lagos / Los Angeles / Sao Paulo — keep at most 1), keep ALL 4 red (your cure set) and the 2 black (Algiers/Cairo, spare fodder). Don't shed red or black.\n\nDecision I need from you: are you at HONG KONG to take my Hong Kong(red) card? Heads-up on the cost — handing it off means I LEAVE the Toronto station (~2 moves each way) and it delays MY black cure by ~a turn. You're already 4/5 drawing 2/turn, so you'll most likely pull your 5th red at HCMC naturally within 1-2 turns. My lean: DON'T wait for the handoff — go back to the HCMC station and draw; cure red there. Only if your red draws stall 2+ turns should I make the Hong Kong trip. (Both of us should stay station-side for our cures.)\n\nBoard: outbreaks 4/8, yellow supply 11 — it's a pure race now. Don't detour for cubes."} — {"applied": 132}. Board before: state `131` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl) · after: state `131` in [states.jsonl](/games/game-03/states.jsonl)

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
ADVISORY — alice is on the move; you cannot act.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 4 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

=== STATE ===
phase=awaitingDiscard turnOwner=alice  (alice must discard to 7)
you=bob role=operationsExpert at=Toronto
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Hong Kong(dispatcher) hand=9 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red), Lagos(yellow), Los Angeles(yellow)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:16   decks: player=15 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 3 move(s): New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Algiers
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap] — 4 move(s): New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Lagos [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 3 move(s): New York→London→Paris — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 3 move(s): Chicago→Los Angeles→Sydney — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Sydney — nearer teammate: alice, 2 move(s) vs your 3
  Bogota: 2 yellow — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 3 move(s): Chicago→Mexico City→Bogota — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Bogota [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  Shanghai: 2 red
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 15 cards → 7 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~3 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: YOU collect (3/5) — keep EVERY black card; nearest station Toronto (0 move(s))
  red: alice collects (4/5) — give alice your red cards when you share
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  hand Hong Kong(red) to alice: meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), alice 0 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  hand Taipei(red) to alice: meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei), alice 1 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  hand Osaka(red) to alice: meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka), alice 2 move(s); then alice to station Atlanta +3 action(s) (direct flight to Los Angeles (spends Los Angeles(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Atlanta) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure

If you have useful advice for the active player, CALL the send_message
tool. Anything you write as plain text on this frame is ALSO delivered to the pool
So if you have nothing useful to add, stop WITHOUT writing anything —
do not narrate your silence. A line like "nothing to add, standing by"
is delivered to the pool, spends one of your messages, and interrupts
the active player mid-turn to tell them nothing.
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

Step 1 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
Now it's alice's turn (she's at Hong Kong, must discard to 7 from 9). She has: Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), HCMC(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red), Lagos(yellow), Los Angeles(yellow). That's 9 cards. Red: Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul = 4 red + she's... wait she needs 5 red. She has 4 red (Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul). Hmm, earlier she was 4/5. Still 4 red. She went to Hong Kong! 

Wait — alice is at Hong Kong now (she moved there). Why? Maybe to position for the red handoff from me (I hold Hong Kong red)? Or just moved. She's at Hong Kong, and I hold Hong Kong(red) card. The rendezvous: "hand Hong Kong to alice: meet in Hong Kong — you 2 moves, alice 0 moves." So alice is AT Hong Kong (0 moves from it). I'm at Toronto. To give her Hong Kong, I'd go to Hong Kong (2 moves: direct flight to Hong Kong spends Hong Kong card — no; or charter). Hmm.

Actually — alice went to Hong Kong presumably to receive my Hong Kong(red) card! She's setting up the red handoff. She's 0 moves from Hong Kong. So if I come to Hong Kong (on my turn) and give her my Hong Kong card, she'd have 5 red → cure red (at a station — she'd go to HCMC or Atlanta? she's not at a station now).

But it's HER turn now (discard). She went to Hong Kong. She must discard to 7 (from 9). 

Her hand: 4 red (Manila, HCMC, Beijing, Seoul), 2 black (Algiers, Cairo), 3 yellow (Sao Paulo, Lagos, Los Angeles). Must discard 2 (9→7).

She should keep red (4/5, close to curing). Keep black? (for me). Discard yellow (Sao Paulo, Lagos, Los Angeles — 3 yellow, dead for her).

Wait — she has Lagos(yellow) and Los Angeles(yellow) — she drew those. And Sao Paulo(yellow). 3 yellow. She should discard 2 yellow.

But — she's at Hong Kong, presumably to take my Hong Kong(red). If she takes my Hong Kong, she'd have 5 red → cure. So she wants to keep room for it.

Hmm. Let me reconsider the whole handoff plan. Alice went to Hong Kong (0 moves). This strongly suggests she wants my Hong Kong(red) card. On MY next turn, I could go to Hong Kong (2 moves) and give her Hong Kong → she's 5/5 → cures red (needs a station though — she'd go to HCMC/Atlanta).

But wait — alice is at Hong Kong which is NOT a station. To cure red she needs a station. HCMC is 1 move from Hong Kong? "then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure." So Hong Kong→HCMC 1 move. So after taking my card, she'd drive HCMC (1) and cure red.

But she'd need to do that on her turn — she's a different player. On my turn I give her the card (both at Hong Kong). On her next turn she drives to HCMC + cures. OK.

But this is getting complex. And — importantly — alice is 4/5 red. She could just DRAW her 5th red (she's drawing 2/turn). Going to Hong Kong to take my card is an alternative if draws stall.

But — the fact that she MOVED to Hong Kong suggests she WANTS the handoff. So maybe her plan is: meet me at Hong Kong, take my Hong Kong card, become 5/5, cure red.

For THIS frame (her discard): she needs to keep 4 red (or make room to take my 5th). She has 9 cards, discard 2. She should discard 2 yellow (dead), keeping 4 red + 2 black + 1 yellow = 7. Wait, that leaves 1 yellow. Hmm. Discard 2 of {Sao Paulo, Lagos, LA} → keep 1 yellow + 4 red + 2 black = 7. 

But if she plans to take my Hong Kong(red) → she'd have 5 red and be 8 cards → discard again. Messy. 

Actually — let me reconsider. Maybe alice doesn't need my Hong Kong. She's 4/5, will draw the 5th soon. Moving to Hong Kong might be a misstep, or she's hedging. 

Hmm — actually, wait. Let me reconsider: maybe alice went to Hong Kong because that's where she can RECEIVE my Hong Kong card cheaply (I'm at Toronto, "you 2 moves, alice 0"). And this accelerates red. 

Should I, on my next turn, go give her Hong Kong? That would complete her red set (she'd be 5/5). Big win — lands RED cure. But it costs: I go to Hong Kong (2 moves, leaving Toronto station), give her the card (1 action), and I'm at Hong Kong (no station) → need to return for black cure. Delays black by ~2 turns.

But if red is ALMOST done via this handoff, and black is my long project... Actually — landing RED fast is valuable (it's one of the two needed). If alice takes my Hong Kong → red cured (next turn). Then only black remains (my project). So red done fast, then focus on black. That might be WORTH the detour.

But wait — alice is 4/5 and draws 2/turn. She'll likely draw her 5th red within 1-2 turns naturally. So the handoff might be redundant. Unless her draws stall.

Hmm. Let me reconsider the DECK CLOCK: player deck 15 cards → 7 turns. Cures needed: 2. Rate ~3 turns/cure. We're cutting it close. And alice is 4/5 red (close). I'm 3/5 black (needs 2). 

Actually — the FASTEST path: if red completes via handoff (alice takes my Hong Kong next turn → cures red in ~1-2 turns), and I grind black (need 2 draws, ~2-3 turns), we win in ~3 turns. That fits the 7-turn clock.

Alternatively, alice draws her 5th red naturally (~1-2 turns) — similar timing, no detour needed.

I think the handoff is a reasonable hedge but not necessary. Alice is likely to draw red. Let me not push the handoff unless her draws stall.

For THIS frame (alice's discard, 9→7): She should discard 2 dead cards (yellow: Sao Paulo, Lagos, or LA). Keep 4 red + 2 black. Actually she has 3 yellow — discard 2 yellow, keep 1. Or discard all considerations...

Let me just advise: discard the yellow dead cards (Lagos, Los Angeles, Sao Paulo — pick 2), KEEP all 4 red (your cure set, need 1 more) and the black (Algiers/Cairo, spare).

Actually — hmm, does she want to keep black (Algiers, Cairo)? She collects red. Black is my color. She holds 2 black. If she discards them, black team goes from 5 to 3 (my 3). Then I need 2 more black draws (from 5 in deck). If she KEEPS them, black team stays 5 (3 mine + 2 hers) — but they're split, need pooling. Hmm. Discarding her black doesn't hurt my draw prospects much (I draw from the 5 in deck regardless). But keeping them preserves the option of a black handoff. 

For her discard (2 cards), she has 3 yellow (all dead to her) and 2 black (spare). Discard 2 yellow (keep 1 yellow) — cleanest. Keep black (Algiers, Cairo) as potential fodder for me.

Wait — but if she's meeting me at Hong Kong to give me... no, I give HER red. She doesn't give me black (unless in Algiers/Cairo cities).

OK — let me just advise: discard the 2 dead YELLOW (e.g., Lagos + Los Angeles, or Sao Paulo), keep 4 red + 2 black + 1 yellow. Focus on curing red.

But actually — I realize the most important question: is alice going to take my Hong Kong, or draw red? This determines MY next turn (do I go to Hong Kong or stay at Toronto grinding black?). 

If she's at Hong Kong expecting me, I should probably go give her the card (it lands red). But it delays my black. 

Hmm. Let me reconsider — actually, maybe the BEST play is: I stay at Toronto grinding black, and alice just draws her 5th red at HCMC (she can go back to HCMC and draw). The Hong Kong trip by alice might have been to enable the handoff, but if I don't come, she just goes back to HCMC and draws. 

I should tell alice: "Do you want the Hong Kong handoff? It costs me leaving the Toronto station (delays black). If your red draws are coming, just go back to HCMC and draw your 5th — that's cleaner. Only if red stalls should we do the handoff."

Actually — alice is at Hong Kong NOW, having spent moves to get there. If she leaves without the card, those moves were wasted. Hmm. But she might have moved to Hong Kong for other reasons (closer to Shanghai? to treat?). 

Let me reconsider what alice is doing at Hong Kong. Hong Kong is near Shanghai (2 red), Manila etc. Maybe she's positioning to help red/containment. Or specifically for the handoff.

Given ambiguity — I should ASK/advise alice about the handoff decision, since it dictates my next turn. Let me advise:
- For her discard: keep 4 red + 2 black, discard 2 yellow dead.
- Re the handoff: "If you're at Hong Kong specifically to take my Hong Kong(red), say so — but note it costs me leaving the Toronto station (~2 moves each way), which delays my black cure. Since you're RED 4/5 and drawing 2/turn, you'll likely draw your 5th red at HCMC naturally within 1-2 turns — that's cleaner and keeps me on-station for black. So my lean: you go BACK to HCMC and draw; DON'T wait for a handoff. Only if your red draws stall 2+ turns do we do the Hong Kong meeting."

This is useful — it resolves the ambiguity and prevents alice from wasting time waiting at Hong Kong (a non-station) for a handoff I don't want to make.

Wait — but if alice is ALREADY at Hong Kong (spent moves), telling her to go back to HCMC wastes her Hong Kong trip. But better than her waiting. And maybe she came for other reasons.

Hmm — actually, let me reconsider: is the handoff actually GOOD? If I go to Hong Kong and give alice the card, red is secured (cure next her-turn). That's one of the two cures LOCKED. Then I only need black. That de-risks significantly (red is the one that's "close but draw-dependent"). 

But it delays MY black cure (I'm at 3/5 needing 2 draws; going to Hong Kong and back costs ~3-4 actions = ~1 turn). Meanwhile alice would cure red. So: red done in ~1-2 turns (via handoff), black done in ~3-4 turns (delayed). Total ~4 turns. vs without handoff: red via draw ~2-3 turns, black ~2-3 turns → ~3 turns.

So the handoff might DELAY the overall win (because it delays my black). Unless alice's red draws would stall.

Given deck is 15 → 7 turns, we have some slack. But delaying black is risky.

I think the cleaner play: alice draws red naturally (she's 4/5 at... well she's at Hong Kong now, not HCMC). She should go back to HCMC and draw red, cure when at 5. And I stay at Toronto grinding black. No handoff.

But I need to communicate this so she doesn't sit at Hong Kong waiting.

Let me advise concisely:
1. Discard the 2 dead yellows (keep 4 red + your 2 black).
2. Don't wait at Hong Kong for a handoff — it costs me leaving the Toronto station and delays black. Go back to the HCMC station and draw your 5th red there (you're 4/5, it'll come). Only if red truly stalls 2+ turns should I make the Hong Kong trip.
3. Board: outbreak 4/8, yellow supply 11 — race the cures.

Hmm, but wait — alice might have a good reason to be at Hong Kong (e.g., to be near Shanghai/Sydney red bombs, or she's planning something). Let me not be too prescriptive but flag the tradeoff.

Actually — let me reconsider whether alice at Hong Kong could just CURE red there after I give her the card... no, Hong Kong isn't a station. She'd go to HCMC (1 move) to cure.

OK let me just write the advice. Focus: discard choice + handoff decision + race.

Actually — the discard hint isn't shown for alice this frame (it's her discard). Let me just advise on it.

Wait — actually, is it worth me even messaging? Alice is on her turn discarding. My advice on HER discard + the handoff question is genuinely useful (resolves whether I go to Hong Kong next turn). Yes, send.

Let me write:
"Discard: shed 2 of your dead YELLOW (Lagos/Los Angeles/Sao Paulo — keep at most 1), keep ALL 4 red (your cure set) + the 2 black (Algiers/Cairo, spare).

Decision needed: are you at HONG KONG to take my Hong Kong(red) card? If yes, note it costs me LEAVING the Toronto station (~2 moves each way) — that delays MY black cure by ~a turn, and you're already 4/5 drawing 2/turn, so you'll likely pull your 5th red at HCMC naturally. My lean: DON'T wait — go back to HCMC and draw; cure red there. Only if your red draws stall 2+ turns do we do the Hong Kong handoff. Stay station-side for your red cure; I stay station-side for black.

Board: outbreaks 4/8, yellow supply 11 — pure race now. Don't detour."

Good. Send.

Actually — let me reconsider one more time if the handoff is better than I think. If alice is 4/5 and I hand her Hong Kong → 5/5. She cures red. That LOCKS red. Then even if the board deteriorates, we only need black. And black I'm grinding (3/5). Hmm. Locking red is valuable insurance. But it delays black...

Let me think about the deck clock: 15 cards, 7 turns. If neither of us cures for 7 turns, deck runs out → LOSS (deck exhaustion). So we have 7 turns to cure black+red. Alice red 4/5 (close), me black 3/5 (2 draws). Both should complete within 7 turns easily (draws). So the deck clock isn't the binding issue; the OUTBREAK/yellow-supply clock is (could kill us sooner).

Given the outbreak/supply clock is the real threat (4/8, yellow 11), we want to WIN FAST. The fastest: red via alice's natural draw (~1-2 turns) + black via my draws (~2-3 turns) → win ~3 turns. The handoff delays black → ~4 turns. So NATURAL draws is faster. So no handoff. Confirm.

Advise accordingly. Send.

Let me send the message.
```

text:

```text
It's Alice's discard step, but she moved to Hong Kong — which reads like she's setting up to take my Hong Kong(red) card. That decision shapes my next turn, so I'll resolve it plus her discard.
```

toolCalls:

```json
{"tool": "send_message", "toolCallId": "call_00_3I5C853pFMwclwhHE4B31393", "ref": "bob:i72:call_00_3I5C853pFMwclwhHE4B31393", "input": {"text": "Discard: shed 2 dead YELLOW (Lagos / Los Angeles / Sao Paulo — keep at most 1), keep ALL 4 red (your cure set) and the 2 black (Algiers/Cairo, spare fodder). Don't shed red or black.\n\nDecision I need from you: are you at HONG KONG to take my Hong Kong(red) card? Heads-up on the cost — handing it off means I LEAVE the Toronto station (~2 moves each way) and it delays MY black cure by ~a turn. You're already 4/5 drawing 2/turn, so you'll most likely pull your 5th red at HCMC naturally within 1-2 turns. My lean: DON'T wait for the handoff — go back to the HCMC station and draw; cure red there. Only if your red draws stall 2+ turns should I make the Hong Kong trip. (Both of us should stay station-side for our cures.)\n\nBoard: outbreaks 4/8, yellow supply 11 — it's a pure race now. Don't detour for cubes."}, "output": {"sent": true, "note": "You have sent 1 of 5 messages available this turn."}}
```

Step 2 · {"synthetic": false, "servedModel": "deepseek-flash"}

reasoning:

```text
I've advised alice. It's her turn. Stop. My next turn depends on her reply (whether she wants the handoff). But likely I stay at Toronto grinding black.

Stop. Don't narrate further.
```

text:

```text
Advice sent — resolving the Hong Kong handoff question and her discard. Waiting on Alice's turn.

My next turn: stay on the Toronto station and keep drawing black (I'm 3/5); I cure BLACK the instant my 5th lands. If Alice signals her red draws are stalling, I'll reassess the Hong Kong handoff to lock red — but only then.
```

toolCalls: []

## Other model calls recorded in this window

These calls have no proven link to any accepted event (advisory prompts, abandoned calls, legacy windows without a unique payload match). Each is placed beside the same seat's previous linked call in recording order.

### alice-i71 {#d-alice-i71}

Seat: alice. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 71. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/alice-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/alice-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `alice-i71`)

**Linked accepted events**

No proven accepted-event join is available for this record.

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

No correlated submission record is available. This does not imply no action was attempted.

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 6 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Paris (3 blue), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 0 action(s) left this turn against 5 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 5 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: 5 city(ies) sit at 3 cubes — each infect phase can
turn one into an outbreak, and outbreaks are how games are lost. Spending
actions to defuse a 3-cube city (move there + treat, see containment
routes) usually beats aimless play. Split targets with teammates.
EXCEPTION — cures outrank triage: treating NEVER wins the game, four
cures do. If the cure plan says you have a full set, or you can complete
one this turn, go cure it even while cities burn. Containment is how you
survive; cures are how you win.

=== STATE ===
phase=awaitingDiscard turnOwner=alice  (alice must discard to 7)
you=alice role=dispatcher at=Hong Kong
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=4/8  infectionRate=3
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Hong Kong(dispatcher) hand=9 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red), Lagos(yellow), Los Angeles(yellow)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:17 yellow:11 black:21 red:16   decks: player=15 infection=42   player-discard: 8 blue, 8 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Algiers — black margin 5 — burnable; 5 black still in deck; spend it only if this beats the cure) — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Algiers — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 11 left, 13 on board, reshuffle trap] — 6 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Atlanta→Miami→Bogota→Sao Paulo→Lagos — or 1 action: direct flight (you hold Lagos — but flying SPENDS it; walking keeps it to buildStation there) — or 2 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 1 move(s) to Lagos [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 4 move(s) vs your 6
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 5 move(s): Ho Chi Minh City→(shuttle)Toronto→New York→London→Paris — or 3 action(s): direct flight to Sao Paulo (spends Sao Paulo(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here] — nearer teammate: bob, 3 move(s) vs your 5
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 2 move(s): Manila→Sydney
  Bogota: 2 yellow
  Shanghai: 2 red — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 1 move(s): Shanghai
  Kinshasa: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 2 yellow [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 10 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 15 cards → 7 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~3 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 7 cube(s) across 4 city(ies) → ~4 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 13 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
DISPATCHER REACH (your turn moves ANY pawn — jump one onto a teammate's city for 1 action at any distance, or drive it 1 city/action; both card-free):
  Sydney(red): drive alice 2 step(s) to Sydney → then that pawn treats
  Algiers(black): drive bob 3 step(s) to Algiers → then that pawn treats
  Paris(blue): drive bob 3 step(s) to Paris → then that pawn treats
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: bob collects (3/5) — give bob your black cards when you share
  red: YOU collect (4/5) — keep EVERY red card when you CAN, but a shed is forced now; the ranking below advises, it does not decide; nearest station Ho Chi Minh City (1 move(s))
  discard hint: red: 2 spare — shedding 2 keeps the cure assemblable; safest first: Sao Paulo (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Algiers], Lagos (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Lagos], Los Angeles (yellow CURED — worthless, discard freely) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach St. Petersburg], Manila (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Ho Chi Minh City (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Beijing (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Seoul (red: 2 spare from YOUR 4 (7 held team-wide, need 5) — shedding keeps the cure assemblable), Algiers (black: 5/5 held team-wide but SPLIT (2 yours) — no hand can bank it until a rendezvous; shedding drops the team below the set) [claimed: a containment route above flies on this card to reach Algiers], Cairo (black: 5/5 held team-wide but SPLIT (2 yours) — no hand can bank it until a rendezvous; shedding drops the team below the set)
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  bob hands you Hong Kong(red): meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 0 move(s), bob 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Taipei(red): meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 1 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  bob hands you Osaka(red): meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), bob 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka); then alice to station Atlanta +3 action(s) (direct flight to Los Angeles (spends Los Angeles(yellow)), then 2 move(s) to Atlanta) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 9/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Manila"}}
  [1] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Algiers"}}
  [2] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Sao Paulo"}}
  [3] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Ho Chi Minh City"}}
  [4] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Beijing"}}
  [5] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Cairo"}}
  [6] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Seoul"}}
  [7] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Lagos"}}
  [8] {"tag":"discard","card":{"kind":"city","city":"Los Angeles"}}
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

No steps recorded.

### bob-i73 {#d-bob-i73}

Seat: bob. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 73. Active turn: False.

Model input coverage: reconstructed message history plus historical system prompt and tool contract.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/bob-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/bob-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl) · [Reconstructed full input in requests.jsonl](/games/game-03/requests.jsonl) (decision `bob-i73`)

**Linked accepted events**

No proven accepted-event join is available for this record.

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

No correlated submission record is available. This does not imply no action was attempted.

**Lifecycle evidence**

None recorded.

**Recorded input**

```text
POOL MESSAGE from alice (event #133): YES — I'm AT Hong Kong right now, and my red draw STALLED (drew 2 yellow again, still 4/5). DO THE HANDOFF THIS ROUND — it's cheap for you: use your Ops Expert station-move (Toronto→Hong Kong, discard a dead blue like Milan or Atlanta, 1 action), then shareGive me Hong Kong(red) (1 action), then drive HK→HCMC to grind black AT that station (1 move). That GUARANTEES red: I take HK(red) → 5/5, go HK→HCMC, discoverCure RED. I'm staying at HK this turn. Keep all 3 black — HCMC station works fine for your black cure, so you lose nothing.
Reply via send_message only if it helps; otherwise continue or stop.
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

No steps recorded.

### bob-i74 {#d-bob-i74}

Seat: bob. Identity: recorded invocation. Prompt number: 74. Active turn: True.

Model input coverage: not called: abandoned before model call.

[System prompt](/games/game-03/harness/bob-system.txt) · [Tool schemas](/games/game-03/harness/bob-tools.json) · [This call in decisions.jsonl](/games/game-03/decisions.jsonl)

**Linked accepted events**

No proven accepted-event join is available for this record.

**Recorded submissions and refusals**

No correlated submission record is available. This does not imply no action was attempted.

**Lifecycle evidence**

```json
{"kind": "abandoned", "reason": "superseded before the model call"}
```

**Recorded input**

```text
ACTIVE TURN — it is your move.

STANDING TEAM PLAN (alice, pinned 5 of your turn(s) ago):
  ENDGAME — need BLACK + RED only (blue+yellow cured). BOB = BLACK solo (holds Moscow/Riyadh/Istanbul = 3, needs 2 draws, cures at Atlanta station). ALICE = RED solo (holds Manila; base at HCMC station in Asia, hoard red draws, cure at 5). WIN the instant both cure — remaining board cubes DON'T matter, so no need to clear anything after. Do NOT funnel black (meets too costly). Manila kept low (3→2 now); once red cures we win regardless of its cubes. Lagos/Johannesburg (3 yellow) = 1-treat wipes if passing, don't detour. Alice spare cards (Algiers/Washington/Sao Paulo/Miami) = flight fuel / discard only.
If the board has invalidated this plan or it is complete, replace it via
pin_plan — until then, your partner is assuming you are following it.
CONFLICT RULE: when your own read of the board — a signal, the DECISION
FRONTIER, a preview result — argues against this plan, do NOT silently
obey and do NOT silently deviate. CALL send_message naming the conflict
(the city and what you would do instead), then resolve it: your partner's
reply or a fresh pin_plan. A stale pin never outranks the live board.
⚠ PLAN COVERAGE: this plan says nothing about Shanghai (3 red), Paris (3 blue), Kinshasa (3 yellow), Khartoum (3 yellow), Sydney (3 red) — 3-cube cities that matured after (or
were left out of) the pin. Fold one into your route, say who takes it,
or re-pin.

ACTION ECONOMY: you have 4 action(s) left this turn against 8 city(ies) at 3 cubes and 2 at 2. Unused actions are lost forever — passing or ending your turn now spends your scarcest resource (4/turn) on nothing. Unless you are a Quarantine Specialist holding a shield over a hot cluster, spend it: treat, or move toward the nearest hot city. A pointless move away and back is not action economy.

TRIAGE: the DECISION FRONTIER below prices this turn's rival plans
against each other. Pick a line or extend it; split targets with
teammates either way.

=== STATE ===
phase=playerActions turnOwner=bob  (actions left: 4)
you=bob role=operationsExpert at=Toronto
cures: blue:cured yellow:cured black:none red:none  outbreaks=5/8  infectionRate=3
OUTBROKE since you last saw the board: Johannesburg (chain members included, in resolution order)
stations: Atlanta, Ho Chi Minh City, Toronto
players: alice@Hong Kong(dispatcher) hand=7 [Manila(red), Algiers(black), Sao Paulo(yellow), Ho Chi Minh City(red), Beijing(red), Cairo(black), Seoul(red)]  bob@Toronto(operationsExpert) hand=7 [Moscow(black), Riyadh(black), Istanbul(black), Hong Kong(red), Milan(blue), Taipei(red), Osaka(red)]
supply: blue:16 yellow:9 black:21 red:15   decks: player=15 infection=39   player-discard: 8 blue, 10 yellow, 2 black, 1 red
threats (cube counts, cluster membership, supply pressure, route cost from you, infect-discard — one row per city):
  Algiers: 3 black⚠ — 3 move(s): New York→Madrid→Algiers — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Algiers
  Shanghai: 3 red⚠ [in infect-discard] — 3 move(s): (shuttle)Ho Chi Minh City→Hong Kong→Shanghai — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Shanghai — nearer teammate: alice, 1 move(s) vs your 3
  Lagos: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 12 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats] [yellow supply 9 left, 15 on board, reshuffle trap]
  Paris: 3 blue⚠ [in infect-discard] — 3 move(s): New York→London→Paris — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Paris [blue CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  Johannesburg: 3 yellow⚠ [in infect-discard] [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 12 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Kinshasa: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 12 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Khartoum: 3 yellow⚠ [cluster Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa: 12 cubes — matures to 3s costs 12+ treats]
  Sydney: 3 red⚠ — 3 move(s): Chicago→Los Angeles→Sydney — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Sydney — nearer teammate: alice, 2 move(s) vs your 3
  Bogota: 2 yellow — pre-empt (one draw from critical): 3 move(s): Chicago→Mexico City→Bogota — or 1 action(s): Operations Expert move: discard Hong Kong(red) at station Toronto to fly anywhere → Bogota [yellow CURED: 1 treat clears ALL cubes here]
  St. Petersburg: 2 blue [in infect-discard]
  Beijing: 1 red
  Essen: 1 blue
  London: 1 blue
  Jakarta: 1 red
  Los Angeles: 1 red
  Sao Paulo: 1 yellow
  Atlanta: 1 blue [in infect-discard]

=== SIGNALS ===
deck clock: 15 cards → 7 player-turn(s) of draws left; 2 cure(s) still needed → one cure every ~3 turn(s), team-wide
eradication: blue: 8 cube(s) across 5 city(ies) → ~5 treat action(s) to eradicate; yellow: 15 cube(s) across 6 city(ies) → ~6 treat action(s) to eradicate
CARD STOCK — TEAM-WIDE, all seats' holdings (12 city cards per color; burned cards NEVER return — every hand-limit discard and every flight spends one):
  black: 2 of 12 burned, held alice 2, bob 3, 5 in deck — margin 5 over the 5 needed
  red: 1 of 12 burned, held alice 4, bob 3, 4 in deck — margin 6 over the 5 needed
cure plan — TEAM-WIDE collector assignment (cures WIN the game; treating only buys time):
  black: YOU collect (3/5) — keep EVERY black card; nearest station Toronto (0 move(s))
  red: alice collects (4/5) — give alice your red cards when you share
share rendezvous — TEAM-WIDE transfer routes (cards in the wrong hand + where to meet):
  hand Hong Kong(red) to alice: meet IN Hong Kong (the card's own city) — you 2 move(s), alice 0 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +1 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  hand Taipei(red) to alice: meet IN Taipei (the card's own city) — you 2 action(s) (direct flight to Hong Kong (spends Hong Kong(red)), then 1 move(s) to Taipei), alice 1 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +2 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
  hand Osaka(red) to alice: meet IN Osaka (the card's own city) — you 2 action(s) (direct flight to Taipei (spends Taipei(red)), then 1 move(s) to Osaka), alice 2 move(s); then alice to station Ho Chi Minh City +3 move(s) to cure; HAND CAP: alice already has 7/7; the share forces an immediate discard — name the non-red card to shed before committing — this transfer completes the set; shed the named card and discoverCure
⚠ CHEAPEST DEFUSES — cured-color cities still holding cubes. CURED ≠ CLEAR: they still outbreak until treated, and ONE treat clears the WHOLE city and refunds every cube (an uncured treat only knocks 3→2 and re-infects):
  Paris (blue, 3, imminent): 4 action(s) total = 3 move(s) + 1 treat: New York→London→Paris
  Lagos (yellow, 3, imminent): 5 action(s) total = 4 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos
  Kinshasa (yellow, 3, imminent): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Kinshasa
  Khartoum (yellow, 3, imminent): 6 action(s) total = 5 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Khartoum
  Johannesburg (yellow, 3, imminent): 7 action(s) total = 6 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→Madrid→Sao Paulo→Lagos→Kinshasa→Johannesburg
  Bogota (yellow, 2): 4 action(s) total = 3 move(s) + 1 treat: Chicago→Mexico City→Bogota
  St. Petersburg (blue, 2): 5 action(s) total = 4 move(s) + 1 treat ⚠ more than a full turn (4) — multi-turn errand: New York→London→Essen→St. Petersburg

⚠ DECISION FRONTIER — 3 rival turn-plan(s); NONE dominates another.
NOT a ranking — a curve between the two ways to lose. DOWN trades cure-pipeline
actions for fewer expected outbreaks; UP reverses it. No line is best: pick the
end facing whichever clock is closer to killing you.
  clocks — outbreaks 5/8; deck ~7 turn(s), 2 cure(s) still needed
Priced nominees, not orders — pick one, extend it, or play something else.
  - advance the red cure: hand off a card at Hong Kong (alice collects, 1 still needed) — operationsExpertMove, give Hong Kong to alice
     tempo: 5 action(s) closer to the red cure (7 → 2 action(s) to land it) — alice collects | risk after: ~1.0 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases + 4 armed discard bomb(s) (Paris, Lagos, Johannesburg, Shanghai): P(epidemic in window) ≈ 8%, and the reshuffle re-arms them ALL — ~6 chained outbreak(s) committed over the ~3 infect phase(s) after it, cancelable ONLY by treating them before it fires — track 5/8: that alone LOSES the game
     burns: blue CURED — spare
  - sweep Paris (blue cured, 3 cubes, 1 treat clears all) — operationsExpertMove, treat blue
     tempo: 1 action(s) closer to the black cure (24 → 23 action(s) to land it) — you collect; clears 3 cube(s) | risk after: ~1.0 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases + 3 armed discard bomb(s) (Lagos, Johannesburg, Shanghai): P(epidemic in window) ≈ 8%, and the reshuffle re-arms them ALL — ~5 chained outbreak(s) committed over the ~3 infect phase(s) after it, cancelable ONLY by treating them before it fires — track 5/8: that alone LOSES the game
     burns: red margin 6 — burnable; 4 red still in deck
  - break the Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa yellow cluster at Lagos — operationsExpertMove, treat yellow
     tempo: 2 action(s) further from the black cure (24 → 26 action(s) to land it) — you collect; clears 3 cube(s) | risk after: ~1.0 expected outbreak(s) over the next 2 infect phases + 3 armed discard bomb(s) (Paris, Johannesburg, Shanghai): P(epidemic in window) ≈ 8%, and the reshuffle re-arms them ALL — ~5 chained outbreak(s) committed over the ~3 infect phase(s) after it, cancelable ONLY by treating them before it fires — track 5/8: that alone LOSES the game; returns 3 yellow (supply 12 after) to a strained supply
     burns: red margin 6 — burnable; 4 red still in deck
  exchange "advance the red cure: hand off a card at Hong K…" → "sweep Paris": gives up 4 action(s) of cure progress to move risk ~1.0 expected outbreaks → ~1.0 and armed-bomb liability 6 → 5 committed outbreak(s)
  exchange "sweep Paris" → "break the Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa …": gives up 3 action(s) of cure progress to move risk ~1.0 expected outbreaks → ~1.0
  dominated: "shore up yellow at Kinshasa (supply strained: 9 left)" — tempo -3 vs -2, risk 1.45 vs 1.37 — beaten by "break the Lagos–Khartoum–Johannesburg–Kinshasa …"
  dominated: "defuse the armed discard bomb at Shanghai (red — fires on the next epidemic reshuffle)" — tempo -7 vs -3, risk 1.67 vs 1.45 — beaten by "shore up yellow at Kinshasa"
  SPLIT DECISION — this antichain holds a cure line AND a containment line
  and neither dominates: that is a TEAM call, not a solo one. Before you
  commit, CALL send_message with your pick and a one-line reason so your
  partner can veto or extend it — a silent choice here is how chains get
  missed.

Your legal actions — this is the COMPLETE legal set; anything not named
here will be rejected. A `[n] {...}` line is literal: pass it verbatim to
submit_action.action. A grouped family gives a template plus the values
allowed in it: fill the template with one combination shown on a single
line and pass that.
  [0] {"tag":"pass"}
  [1] {"tag":"endActions"}
  [2] {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Chicago"}
  [3] {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"Washington"}
  [4] {"tag":"driveFerry","to":"New York"}
  directFlight — 7 options; build {"tag":"directFlight","to":<one to below>}
      to: "Moscow", "Riyadh", "Istanbul", "Hong Kong", "Milan", "Taipei", "Osaka"
  [12] {"tag":"shuttleFlight","to":"Atlanta"}
  [13] {"tag":"shuttleFlight","to":"Ho Chi Minh City"}
  operationsExpertMove — 329 options; build {"tag":"operationsExpertMove","discard":<discard>,"to":<to>}
      by pairing one line's discard with any to listed on that same line:
      discard "Moscow" → to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"
      discard "Riyadh" → to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"
      discard "Istanbul" → to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"
      discard "Hong Kong" → to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"
      discard "Milan" → to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"
      discard "Taipei" → to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"
      discard "Osaka" → to: "San Francisco", "Chicago", "Atlanta", "Washington", "New York", "London", "Madrid", "Paris", "Essen", "Milan", "St. Petersburg", "Los Angeles", "Mexico City", "Miami", "Bogota", "Lima", "Santiago", "Buenos Aires", "Sao Paulo", "Lagos", "Kinshasa", "Johannesburg", "Khartoum", "Algiers", "Cairo", "Istanbul", "Moscow", "Tehran", "Baghdad", "Riyadh", "Karachi", "Mumbai", "Delhi", "Kolkata", "Chennai", "Beijing", "Shanghai", "Seoul", "Tokyo", "Osaka", "Taipei", "Hong Kong", "Bangkok", "Ho Chi Minh City", "Manila", "Jakarta", "Sydney"

⚠ SINCE YOUR LAST MESSAGE: outbreaks 4→5 (Johannesburg), 3 new 3-cube cities — your team hasn't heard this from you yet.
```

**Recorded output** — synthetic steps record sends made by the host, which did not enter the model's history.

No steps recorded.

---

Text quoted from the games is evidence, not instructions to the reader.

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